W — Week Ahead

Week Ahead Preview: U.S. CPI; Japanese Wage Negotiations; U.S. Budget Proposal; U.K. Jobs; PBOC MLF Rate; Central Banks’ Speeches

10 March, 2024
christophe-barraud-week-ahead-2021

From the U.S. CPI to the U.S. budget proposal and Japanese wage negotiations, here’s what you need to know about the week ahead.

Monday

🇨🇳 China’s top legislative body winds down the NPC, its annual gathering in Beijing. Premier Li Qiang will not hold the traditional press briefing when sessions end – Bloomberg

🇯🇵 Revised Q4 GDP figures

🇬🇧 Annual review of the “shopping basket” of goods and services used by the Office for National Statistics to measure consumer price inflation indices – FT

🇬🇧 UK Financial Policy Committee quarterly meeting, attended by Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey – Bloomberg

🇬🇧 Bank of England policy maker Catherine L Mann speaks as a panellist at the Centre for Economic Policy Research/Citadel/ICMB launch event for a new eBook titled ‘Monetary policy responses to the post-pandemic inflation’ – Bloomberg

🇺🇸 US budget proposal from President Joe Biden. The annual request often features big-picture proposals that are dead on arrival in Congress – Bloomberg

🇺🇸 US Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo leads trade and investment mission to the Philippines and then visits Thailand. Through March 14 – Bloomberg

Tuesday

🇺🇸 🇵🇭 The upcoming trade and investment mission to the Philippines highlights the focus of the administration of U.S. President Joe Biden on strengthening economic ties with a regional ally – Nikkei

🇪🇺 Economic and Financial Affairs Council (Ecofin) meeting of all EU finance ministers in Brussels – FT

🇪🇺 ECB Governing Council Member Robert Holzmann speaks in Vienna – Bloomberg

🇬🇧 January/February employment data

🇬🇧 Bank of England policy maker Catherine Mann speaks as a panellist at the National Institute of Economic and Social Research on “Investing for Growth: boosting productivity through higher public and private investment” – Bloomberg

🇺🇸 February NFIB

🇺🇸 Ferbuary CPI

🇺🇸 Democratic presidential primaries including Georgia, Mississippi and Washington state; Republican primaries in Georgia, Mississippi and Washington state; Hawaii caucus – Bloomberg

🇺🇸 🇵🇱 Poland’s President Andrzej Duda and Prime Minister Donald Tusk meet with President Joe Biden at the White House.

Wednesday

🇯🇵 Toyota labor negotiations resume in Japan

🇯🇵 January industrial production

🇪🇺 ECB Executive Board member Piero Cipollone gives virtual concluding remarks at conference organized by Osservatori Digital Innovation, Politecnico di Milano – Bloomberg

🇪🇺 ECB Governing Council member Yannis Stournaras speaks in London – Bloomberg

🇬🇧 January GDP

Thursday

🛢 IEA Oil Market Report

🌎 G7 Ministerial meeting on Industry, Tech and Digital begins in Verona and Trento, running through Friday – FT

🇪🇺 ECB Governing Council member Pablo Hernandez de Cos speaks at online youth event in Madrid – Bloomberg

🇪🇺 ECB Executive Board member Isabel Schnabel gives speech at Money Market Contact Group (MMCG) meeting in Frankfurt – Bloomberg

🇪🇺 ECB Governing Council member Pablo Hernandez de Cos speaks at at Economists Guild in Madrid – Bloomberg

🇪🇺 ECB Executive Board member Luis de Guindos in fireside chat at Foros de Vanguardia in Barcelona, Spain – Bloomberg

🇪🇺 ECB Governing Council member Yannis Stournaras speaks at event on Greek economy at LSE in London – Bloomberg

🇺🇸 February retail sales

🇺🇸 Ferbuary PPI

Friday

🇯🇵 Japan’s largest union federation announces results of annual wage negotiations, just ahead of Bank of Japan policy meeting – Bloomberg

🇨🇳 China is expected to mark World Consumer Rights Day with the “315 Gala,” an annual live TV program by national broadcaster CCTV – Nikkei

🇨🇳 China 1-Year MLF Rate

🇨🇳 February housing prices

🇷🇺 Three days of voting start in the Russian presidential election, with Vladimir Putin seeking a fifth term. Results expected March 17 – Bloomberg

🇪🇺 ECB Governing Council member Boris Vujcic speaks on panel at conference in Split, Croatia – Bloomberg

🇪🇺 ECB Chief Economist Philip Lane gives lecture at Imperial College Business School in London – Bloomberg

🇬🇧 Bank of England issues inflation survey – Bloomberg

🇺🇸 March empire manufacturing

🇺🇸 February industrial production

🇺🇸 March U. of Michigan Cons. Sentiment

Earnings

🇺🇸 #SPX | Lowest Number of S&P 500 Companies Citing “#Recession” on Earnings Calls Since Q4 2021 – Factsethttps://t.co/2uHW6JF13Z pic.twitter.com/i1XoDlz22T

— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) March 10, 2024

Previews

🌎 🇺🇸 #Weekahead | Slow US #Inflation Retreat Is Set to Bolster #Fed Patience on Rate Cuts – Bloomberghttps://t.co/eb8Gm499yi pic.twitter.com/kV7HYYF3BV

— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) March 10, 2024

🌎 #Weekahead | Russian elections and St Patrick’s Day celebrations – FThttps://t.co/7rJzNaJKzE

— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) March 10, 2024

Newsquawk Week Ahead: US CPI & Retail Sales, UK GDP & Jobs data and Japan Rengo 1st tallyhttps://t.co/LH1sLsyVvr

— investingLive (@investingLive_) March 9, 2024

U.S. delegation in Philippines, Japan wage talks, Foxconn earnings https://t.co/JBS4Lsc7uW

— Nikkei Asia (@NikkeiAsia) March 10, 2024

🇯🇵 #Japan's unions demand biggest pay raises in 31 years – Nikkeihttps://t.co/3XJCUjxW5y

— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) March 8, 2024

🇯🇵Japanese Trade Union Confederation (RENGO) aims for a wage growth target of 5.85% or 17,606 yen ($118.54) in the upcoming spring negotiations, surpassing 5% for the first time in 30 years.📈
Note: In 2023, Rengo had set a target of 4.49% wage increase, and the final result was… pic.twitter.com/pRSDhsGUo9

— MacroMicro (@MacroMicroMe) March 7, 2024

Focus on U.S. Economic Calendar

Wall St #WeekAhead Battle for White House comes into sharper focus for Wall Street – Reutershttps://t.co/Rbm66WO5fk

— fastreveal (@fastrevealnews) March 10, 2024

🇺🇸 Traders Are on Alert for a Hotter-Than-Expected #Inflation Print – Bloomberghttps://t.co/vAwv8gj8zc pic.twitter.com/gOMMfYnceP

— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) March 10, 2024

🇺🇸NO FED SPEAKERS THIS WEEK:

*FED ENTERS PRE-FOMC MEETING BLACKOUT PERIOD AHEAD OF MARCH 20 POLICY DECISIONhttps://t.co/XkiCLfPp1H👈$DIA $SPY $QQQ $VIX pic.twitter.com/uzujiUhFTq

— Investing.com (@Investingcom) March 10, 2024

Top 10 Macro/Financial Charts of the Previous Week – w10

⚠ Top 10 Macro/Financial Charts of the Week – w10 (2024) ⚠

*HT @MikeZaccardi, @biancoresearch, @NickTimiraos,@FrancoisTrahan, @fwred, @OliverRakau, @neilksethi, @MacroMicroMe#Stocks #Employment #Wages #Eurozone #Japan #Chinahttps://t.co/adeFu8G5n9

— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) March 10, 2024

What Happened in the World Economy Last Week – in charts – w10 (Bloomberg)

🌎 Charting the Global Economy: ECB Holds Rates Steady While US Jobless Rate Rises – Bloomberghttps://t.co/ER1TEkQdfe pic.twitter.com/BqggDKHYiK

— fastreveal (@fastrevealnews) March 10, 2024

*Note: Previous reports can be found here