U.S. Presidential Election: First Reactions To Biden/Trump Debate
President Donald Trump and former vice president Joe Biden have faced off in Cleveland for the first of the presidential debates. According to Bloomberg, they “hurled insults and repeatedly interrupted each other in their first debate Tuesday, sparring over topics that included the coronavirus, the economy and their families“.
#Trump–#Biden Debate Slips Into Chaos as Insults Drown Out Issues – Bloomberghttps://t.co/MMdWgx5tTZ
— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) September 30, 2020
Tuesday night’s debate devolved into chaos and an unrelenting volley of personal attacks as President Trump derailed the night by repeatedly talking over former Vice President Joe Biden, who responded with jabs at the President. #Debates2020 https://t.co/dkBCyZWkoD pic.twitter.com/DmIsrZI7Ss
— CNN (@CNN) September 30, 2020
Fact-Checking #Trump and #Biden’s First Presidential Debate – Bloomberghttps://t.co/L1BvwNFLDk
— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) September 30, 2020
After the debate, the Trump campaign published a statement stating that disorder had been the strategy. “President Trump in charge, Biden weak,” the campaign said, claiming that Trump had delivered “the greatest debate performance in presidential history.” However, this opinion hasn’t been shared by both betting markets and post-debate polls, which confirmed that Joe Biden won the debate.
First Debate | #Biden/#Trump: Initial reaction from betting markets ⬇
*Link: https://t.co/u2TyW7ypg7 pic.twitter.com/qoClZhXKvD— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) September 30, 2020
RealClearPolitics Update (post-#Biden/#Trump 1st #debate): Betting Odds
*Link: https://t.co/ofeJijIuww pic.twitter.com/rLvPt2fo5K— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) September 30, 2020
CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER
Instant poll of debate watchers: more say Joe Biden won tonight’s debate pic.twitter.com/dHZqV95wqB— CBS News Poll (@CBSNewsPoll) September 30, 2020
Post-debate CNN poll: Six in 10 say Biden won the debate – CNNhttps://t.co/SLJm0tSXGx
— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) September 30, 2020
In this context, U.S.futures turned lower reflecting increasing probabilities of:
➡ A Democratic Sweep (synonym of higher Corp. tax, end of foreign tax loopholes and the rise of capital gains tax (the largest in U.S. history)
➡ A disputed Biden victory (the debate reinforces the scenario that if Biden wins, Trump is not going to accept easily).
futures turned lower (https://t.co/kDlacIP5eH) after the first election debate reflecting ⬆ probabilities of:
1/ A Democratic sweep (synonym of ⬆ Corp. tax, end of foreign tax loopholes and the ⬆ of capital gains tax).
2/ A disputed Biden victory pic.twitter.com/i9oD53Ky4p
— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) September 30, 2020