S Stocks

Several Charts Suggest That U.S. Stock Bulls Should Be More Cautious In August

02 August, 2020

I/ Positioning (Contrarian Signal)

*Retailers look extremly active and bullish


*Positions seem to be concentrated in Tech stocks


*Shorts have capitulated


II/ Seasonal Patterns

*Usually, seasonal pattern isn’t supportive in August


*It’s the same case for U.S. presidential cycle…


*… Especially if the incumbent party loses the Elections


III/ Liquidity (Volatility Multiplier)

*Liquidity remains particularly low