Markets
We've just experienced some of the most significant short covering by hedge funds in 6 years. pic.twitter.com/YuYhUiRAs6
— Markets & Mayhem (@Mayhem4Markets) February 5, 2023
CTA asymmetry is getting more and more skewed to the downside over next month with CTA set to sell -$200bn of equities in a down tape vs buying $40bn in an up tape – suggesting a contrasting with short term optimism. GS
— Thomas Thornton (@TommyThornton) February 5, 2023
Economic Indicators and Prospects
January Employment Report: 517 thousand Jobs, 3.4% Unemployment Rate https://t.co/BfqeUTD5Ej pic.twitter.com/eVlHporrPg
— Bill McBride (@calculatedrisk) February 3, 2023
Comments on January Employment Report https://t.co/UifeqVvxBl pic.twitter.com/CgK1qf01YO
— Bill McBride (@calculatedrisk) February 3, 2023
🇺🇸 From Bloomberg reporter (Ye Xie): Employment in temporary help services, which is considered a leading indicator for the job market, increased 26,000, the biggest gain since February 2022. pic.twitter.com/S3Hidain3b
— Christophe Barraud🛢🐳 (@C_Barraud) February 3, 2023
And now it is over 3 million, the biggest in history https://t.co/wcOs5tdHEh
— zerohedge (@zerohedge) February 3, 2023
According to the SF Fed, weather boosted the January BLS report by 125K jobs.https://t.co/3RdZ4GGJ0q
— Bill McBride (@calculatedrisk) February 3, 2023
Housing
.@MarketWatch on @ISM Services PMI® “The improvement in the service sector adds to the sense that the #economy is on firmer footing at the start of 2023 than many feared. It also fits with the strong January #jobs report.” https://t.co/wzSCo2Fsjy #ISMPMI
— Institute for Supply Management (@ism) February 3, 2023
Monetary Policy
🇺🇸 #FOMO is Gripping #Credit Markets, Making Bond Premiums Vanish – Bloomberghttps://t.co/Q1Ifk6meWG pic.twitter.com/kNCre0k05s
— Christophe Barraud🛢🐳 (@C_Barraud) February 5, 2023
Fiscal Policy
A senior White House economic adviser said negotiations over raising the US debt ceiling are an “absolute nonstarter” for President Biden https://t.co/5zaVBQXLYq
— Bloomberg Economics (@economics) February 5, 2023
Politics
Biden Starts Making His Case For A Second Term – FT https://t.co/0C45z6kgTq
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) February 6, 2023
Trade, Supply Chain and Geopolitics
🇺🇸 🇨🇳 US Downs Chinese Balloon, Prompting Protests from Beijing – Bloomberghttps://t.co/kFaoAMvGED
— Christophe Barraud🛢🐳 (@C_Barraud) February 5, 2023
U.S. weighs sanctions for Chinese companies over Iran surveillance buildup – WSJ https://t.co/akJbzciCKg pic.twitter.com/LkBzaLmJg6
— Reuters (@Reuters) February 4, 2023
Economic Indicators and Prospects
Asia sector #PMI revealed a renewed growth in Consumer Services at the start of 2023. Meanwhile job shedding became more widespread in January. Read more: https://t.co/mPuQbeelvv pic.twitter.com/IpUk8wlvFm
— S&P Global PMI™ (@SPGlobalPMI) February 6, 2023
Goldman Sachs:
— CN Wire (@Sino_Market) February 3, 2023
Growth in #China is set to accelerate. This rapid reopening is likely to generate moderately positive spillovers to global growth in 2023, as well as a more modest boost to global inflation.
China's reopening to boost Brent by 20%+. #OOTT pic.twitter.com/ZjW45FtKp6
Indonesia's GDP Grew 5.31% In 2022, Back To Pre-Covid Level – Nikkei https://t.co/abhPG49aka
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) February 6, 2023
Housing
🇨🇳 #Housing | #China Should Lower Existing #Mortgage Rates to Drop Costs – China Securities Journal
— Christophe Barraud🛢🐳 (@C_Barraud) February 6, 2023
*Link (Chinese): https://t.co/yNFPMZIeuw
Monetary Policy
🇨🇳 #China Banks Offer Cheap Consumer Loans as Xi Urges More Spending – Bloomberghttps://t.co/cTbaNmAV1j pic.twitter.com/wbMzWmardA
— Christophe Barraud🛢🐳 (@C_Barraud) February 6, 2023
🇯🇵 #Japan #BOJ | Amamiya Would Weigh on #Yen, Be a Boost for Bonds, Analysts Say – Bloomberghttps://t.co/muZoOtZNkZ
— Christophe Barraud🛢🐳 (@C_Barraud) February 6, 2023
Fiscal Policy
🇨🇳 #China’s local governments ramped up special bond issuance in January as part of efforts to boost infrastructure investment and stimulate economic growth, according to a China Securities Journal report Monday.https://t.co/VnWSmcQ0FG
— Christophe Barraud🛢🐳 (@C_Barraud) February 6, 2023
🇨🇳 Exclusive: Big stimulus unlikely as #China considers steps to support consumers – Reutershttps://t.co/QSBdd3luLE
— Christophe Barraud🛢🐳 (@C_Barraud) February 6, 2023
Trade, Supply Chain and Geopolitics
Morning Bid Asia-U.S.-China Crisis? – RTRS https://t.co/dOPERPAV4x
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) February 5, 2023
🇦🇺 🇨🇳 #Australia, #China Trade Ministers Hold First Talks Since 2019 – Bloomberghttps://t.co/HMdU6UP7Kf
— Christophe Barraud🛢🐳 (@C_Barraud) February 6, 2023
Economic Indicators and Prospects
🇩🇪 #GERMANY DEC. FACTORY ORDERS RISE 3.2% M/M (largest increase since Sep. 2021); EST. +2.0% – BBG
— Christophe Barraud🛢🐳 (@C_Barraud) February 6, 2023
*GERMANY DEC. FACTORY ORDERS FALL 10.1% Y/Y (10th straight contraction); EST. -11.6% pic.twitter.com/BGsBNj16wf
Housing
UK mortgage lending is expected to grow at its slowest rate in more than a decade amid Britain’s rising interest rates and falling house prices https://t.co/L8WQADd6S6
— Bloomberg Economics (@economics) February 6, 2023
Monetary Policy
ECB interest rates may peak around the middle of the year or by the third quarter at the latest, Governing Council member Robert Holzmann says https://t.co/2vUPbq5gqp
— Bloomberg Economics (@economics) February 4, 2023
The ECB decision to raise rates by 300 basis points since July has led to repeated attacks by Italian politicians https://t.co/MoV5GLlhka
— Bloomberg (@business) February 4, 2023
Most economists predict the ECB will slow the pace of its interest-rate hikes following another half-point increase in March https://t.co/MMknWpkNMy
— Bloomberg Economics (@economics) February 5, 2023
Fiscal Policy
The government is under pressure to rethink the president’s signature economic reform https://t.co/LD4d6KYR8c
— Bloomberg (@business) February 5, 2023
Energy
UK grid asks coal reserve to prepare as a cold snap looms https://t.co/O6bJAuTFUw via @rachelmorison pic.twitter.com/sNHYYf2HoL
— Zoe Schneeweiss (@ZSchneeweiss) February 5, 2023
Trade, Supply Chain and Geopolitics
Ukraine braced for renewed Russian offensive later in February https://t.co/v1Z6Al3qa3
— BBC News (World) (@BBCWorld) February 6, 2023
⚠ #WeekAhead: Week 6 (2023) ⚠
— Christophe Barraud🛢🐳 (@C_Barraud) February 6, 2023
🇦🇺 🇮🇳 #RBA and #RBI Meetings
🇺🇸 U.S. State of Union
🇺🇸 🇬🇧 🇪🇺 #Fed, #BOE and #ECB Speakers
🇺🇸 U.S. CPI New Methodology
🇩🇪 German CPI
…https://t.co/z4xBYArmHG