Economic Indicators and Prospects
Truckload spot data shows that the winter lull in freight may have already happened.
— Craig Fuller 🛩🚛🚂⚓️ (@FreightAlley) January 16, 2023
Truckload spot rates bottomed on November 17th at $1.67/mile (net fuel) and now sit at $1.98/mile (net fuel). Will this be the cycle low? pic.twitter.com/BmiGnjskTC
Housing
Housing January 16th Weekly Update: Inventory Increased 0.3% Week-over-week https://t.co/4MQrWQy0i8 pic.twitter.com/ydIxSVG1Sq
— Bill McBride (@calculatedrisk) January 16, 2023
The only chart that matters for the housing market in 2023.
— Alf (@MacroAlf) January 16, 2023
Who is the marginal buyer here? pic.twitter.com/XV10Ov2Xjx
Monetary Policy
The Fed holdings of US Treasury notes and bonds just fell by the largest amount in history.
— Otavio (Tavi) Costa (@TaviCosta) January 16, 2023
Over $41 billion just in the last 2 weeks. pic.twitter.com/kDB9fsfOi6
Trade, Supply Chain and Geopolitics
US-China Trade Is Close To A Record, Defying Talk Of Decoupling – BBG https://t.co/FK0IHZVnMU
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) January 17, 2023
Blinken To Test Limits Of China’s Diplomatic Engagement On Beijing Trip – Politico https://t.co/vNPloSNQOK
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) January 16, 2023
Economic Indicators and Prospects
⚡China GDP data:
— CN Wire (@Sino_Market) January 17, 2023
Full-year +3% [Prev.+8.4%]
Q4 GDP YoY +2.9%[Est.+1.8%;Prev.+3.9%]
Q4 GDP QoQ +0.0%[Prev.+3.9%]#China #GDP #EconTwitter 🇨🇳
More data will be updated in this thread.
1/
🇨🇳 #China's 2022 #property investment falls for first time since 1999 – Reutershttps://t.co/g9Ufxo08u9
— Christophe Barraud🛢🐳 (@C_Barraud) January 17, 2023
🇨🇳 #China’s Population Shrinks for First Time Since 1960s in Seismic Shift – Bloomberghttps://t.co/Ofe8qYeZBm pic.twitter.com/kcmNfgQheb
— Christophe Barraud🛢🐳 (@C_Barraud) January 17, 2023
New Zealand Business Confidence At Lowest Since 1974 – RTRS https://t.co/RlYABYY8xh
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) January 16, 2023
Housing
🇨🇳 #China #Junk Dollar Bonds Arise From Their Deep Distress – Bloomberg
— Christophe Barraud🛢🐳 (@C_Barraud) January 16, 2023
*Just 4% of notes in a Bloomberg index of China’s high-yield dollar bonds were below 20 cents as of Friday. pic.twitter.com/5RZnq9EIbQ
Monetary Policy
Yen Traders Braced For Volatility As BoJ Meets – FT https://t.co/tYwdULlNtf
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) January 17, 2023
🇯🇵 #Japan | #BOJ Meets Amid Intense Speculation Over More Tweaks: Decision Day Guide – Bloomberghttps://t.co/5v8sl1kKtY pic.twitter.com/WJqZ1UitcX
— Christophe Barraud🛢🐳 (@C_Barraud) January 17, 2023
New BoJ Governor Nominee Likely To Be Presented To Diet February 10 – RTRS Sources https://t.co/PAPRt41WWl
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) January 17, 2023
For PBOC's reverse repurchase operation, the injection comes to 504 billion yuan, the most since January 2019.
— CN Wire (@Sino_Market) January 17, 2023
PBOC says the injection aims to hedge against the high demand for year-end tax payments.#China #USDCNY https://t.co/5qst4yIheY
Trade, Supply Chain and Geopolitics
Singapore’s non-oil exports came in weaker than expected in December, with the government attributing the poor showing to a higher base a year ago https://t.co/D4xjjKUmyJ
— Bloomberg (@business) January 17, 2023
Economic Indicators and Prospects
UK Jobs Market Remains Resilient Despite Incoming Recession – ING https://t.co/zXWDWaSckE
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) January 17, 2023
UK Worker Shortfall Due To Brexit Curbs Estimated At 330,000 – FT https://t.co/z8ZhlpFXPI
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) January 16, 2023
🇩🇪 #GERMANY JAN. ZEW INVESTOR EXPECTATIONS RISE TO 16.9; EST. -15.0 – BBG
— Christophe Barraud🛢🐳 (@C_Barraud) January 17, 2023
*GERMANY JAN. ZEW CURRENT CONDITIONS INDEX -58.6; EST. -57.0
🇩🇪 GERMAN ECONOMY MINISTER: WANT TO GET INFLATION BELOW 5% BY YEAR'S END – WELT TV – RTRS
— Christophe Barraud🛢🐳 (@C_Barraud) January 17, 2023
*GERMAN ECONOMY MINISTER: IF THERE IS A RECESSION, IT WOULD POSSIBLY BE "ONLY VERY SHORT AND NOT VERY DEEP" – WELT TV
Monetary Policy
🇪🇺 #ECB Philip Lane: ‘We haven’t seen “normal” in #Europe for a long time’ – FThttps://t.co/9pj7gTedqn
— Christophe Barraud🛢🐳 (@C_Barraud) January 17, 2023
ECB’s Centeno says euro-zone economy is surprisingly positive https://t.co/Shs5xlHgXv via @weberalexander @joaomlima1 pic.twitter.com/eELCTastRe
— Zoe Schneeweiss (@ZSchneeweiss) January 17, 2023
BoE’s Bailey: Loan From BoE To APF Will Be Repaid Todayhttps://t.co/Tfg6JKWjlR
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) January 16, 2023
BOE Governor Bailey warns of upside risk from the labor market and China https://t.co/vaMFsqEUNi via @tomelleryrees @LucyGJWhite pic.twitter.com/5KJTN0WeQS
— Zoe Schneeweiss (@ZSchneeweiss) January 16, 2023
Fiscal Policy
EU’s hopes of Italy ESM approval may be premature, official says https://t.co/13e9iZdrQS via @Alemrome pic.twitter.com/T5dlLrUV8l
— Zoe Schneeweiss (@ZSchneeweiss) January 17, 2023
🇷🇺 #Russia | #Kremlin Revenue Under Pressure as Crude Price Falls on Sanctions – Bloomberg
— Christophe Barraud🛢🐳 (@C_Barraud) January 16, 2023
*Urals price for February tax calculations fell to $46.82/bbhttps://t.co/10CNuFd62o pic.twitter.com/XWltuSXOo5
Energy
EU needs a power market reform deal by summer, key lawmaker says https://t.co/QpIa6n5QNu via @johnainger pic.twitter.com/PcHu1VcEcl
— Zoe Schneeweiss (@ZSchneeweiss) January 16, 2023
Trade, Supply Chain and Geopolitics
🇪🇺🇬🇧 Joint statement by @MarosSefcovic and @JamesCleverly after today’s video conference call on the Protocol on Ireland / Northern Ireland:https://t.co/U0KHVy6b8C pic.twitter.com/n3LoykliX0
— Daniel Ferrie 🇪🇺 (@DanielFerrie) January 16, 2023
The EU must reform its industrial state-aid policies while also seeking an agreement with the US to avert a trade war, according to Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez https://t.co/bmw6UHc2oU pic.twitter.com/OWmhLPhPlM
— Zoe Schneeweiss (@ZSchneeweiss) January 17, 2023
EU's shakeup of industrial policy must include tax credits, French Finance Minister Le Maire says https://t.co/IOT9XKkDzV via @JReganReg pic.twitter.com/tROzZertHF
— Zoe Schneeweiss (@ZSchneeweiss) January 16, 2023
⚠ #WeekAhead: Week 3 (2023) ⚠
— Christophe Barraud🛢🐳 (@C_Barraud) January 16, 2023
🇨🇭 🌎 #Davos #WEF
🇯🇵 #BOJ Meeting
🇪🇺 #ECB Minutes
🇺🇸 #FOMC Beige Book
🇺🇸 U.S. Data
🇨🇳 #China GDP
🇨🇳 Chinese New #LunarYear Starts
…https://t.co/nFTFy2FYEz