
Find here our morning brief which compiled the main macro news — released on Twitter — concerning Americas, Asia and Europe.
Markets
The yields on the longest-dated US government bonds shot back to levels seen just before Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent shocked markets last month by expanding a buyback program in an effort to halt the rise https://t.co/UCBIrLq9Xe
— Bloomberg (@business) September 2, 2026
Goldman's trading desk: “The market is exhibiting signs of nervousness across a myriad of indicators. This attitude toward risk is not just theoretical, investors are quite literally putting their money where their mouth is in terms of portfolio risk allocations.” https://t.co/t5AJVr5QJD
— Neil Sethi NEW account (@neilsethinew) September 1, 2026
Tech is now officially more capital-intensive than mining.
— Otavio (Tavi) Costa (@TaviCosta) September 2, 2026
This represents a fundamental shift in the market.
Miners offer stronger margins, healthier balance sheets, and more compelling embedded growth.
They offer a far more asymmetric way to express the AI investment thesis… pic.twitter.com/o7CR6HPHeK
*Focus on AI
New Google AI Model Said To Narrow Gap On Coding Ability – WSJhttps://t.co/55q3NEVzCO
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) September 1, 2026
Anthropic is releasing a new version of its powerful Fable artificial intelligence model that it says is better at coding and science tasks, as well as more economical — all changes it says are in response to customer feedback. https://t.co/oF2AqAQNUa
— Bloomberg (@business) September 1, 2026
Claude Fable 5.1 (max) also costed a record breaking $8,523 to run the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index benchmark, a 56.24% increase over Fable 5. https://t.co/J0kv7MYPus pic.twitter.com/eL0crQtKxe
— cheaty (@cheatyyyy) September 1, 2026
$DELL | Dell Technologies Q2 27 Earnings:
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) September 1, 2026
• Rev: $46.97B (est $44.78B)
• Adj EPS: $7.04 (est $4.90)
• Adj Oper Income: $5.93B (est $4.18B)
• Infrastructure Solutions Grp Rev: $31.78B
• AI-Optimised Servers Rev: $16.40B (est $16.03B)
Dell Raises Annual Revenue Outlook On Sustained AI Server Sales – BBGhttps://t.co/shnbJeNxZy
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) September 1, 2026
Economic Indicators and Prospects
ISM manufacturing eased -1.0pt to 54.6 but still the 2nd highest since 2022, the 8th straight month of expansion.
— Neil Sethi NEW account (@neilsethinew) September 1, 2026
According to the report the reading is consistent with 2.4% real GDP growth (which is also the median of my GDP trackers). S&P's version (see prior post) held flat… https://t.co/ia3t5DIga6 pic.twitter.com/zIpi29e7Ww
Quick update on the July JOLTS report which was overall rather bland with a continued "low hire (actually negative hire) low fire" reading but a couple of interesting nuggets:
— Neil Sethi NEW account (@neilsethinew) September 1, 2026
Openings: July job openings rose +89k to 7.271mn but June was revised down -177k to 7.182mn — the… https://t.co/Xymhzj1ucZ pic.twitter.com/rceYEiB7JJ
The Atlanta Fed’s Q3 real GDP tracker ticked up to +4.82% as of September 1st, the highest since August 6th and up from +4.61% on August 26th (last Wednesday).
— Neil Sethi NEW account (@neilsethinew) September 1, 2026
The relatively modest increase masked bigger moves in individual components, with gains in the contributions from… https://t.co/lpdyUph4OV pic.twitter.com/ofnDccHbka
*Focus on AI
AI token prices are hitting new record lows https://t.co/B4DfiWz05h
— CNBC (@CNBC) September 1, 2026
Money spent on building data centers in the US has grown 5-fold since late 2022.
— Our World in Data (@OurWorldInData) September 1, 2026
The United States is home to thousands of data centers. They are part of the infrastructure that powers many digital services, including email, gaming, streaming, social media, and, increasingly,… pic.twitter.com/yXIyrQw3Iz
Global data center spending is set to reach $31.6 trillion through 2050 to meet the world’s growing appetite for AI, an investment boom with no precedent in history, according PricewaterhouseCoopers https://t.co/PuhTZEi51m
— Bloomberg (@business) September 2, 2026
Monetary Policy
Fed governor Michael Barr says he would back a September rate increase if inflation “appears not to be moderating sufficiently.”
— Nick Timiraos (@NickTimiraos) September 1, 2026
The key outlook passage from his speech: “If trends in the data give me some confidence that inflation is moderating on a path to 2%, then I think we…
Bessent says he expects interest rates will fall once "we get on the other side" of the Iran conflict, and that today's AI investments could be "extremely disinflationary" with results showing up "in the next six months."
— Nick Timiraos (@NickTimiraos) September 2, 2026
"The economy here is very, very strong and I think we're… https://t.co/IfiAadNrht
Fiscal Policy
The House voted 370–48 to pass a short-term funding bill, averting a government shutdown ahead of the November election. The bill now heads to President Trump’s desk. It keeps federal agencies funded at current levels through Dec. 11. pic.twitter.com/Fiy2iasJcP
— Breaking911 (@Breaking911) September 1, 2026
Trade, Politics and Geopolitics
BREAKING: Markets now expect the Democrats to sweep both the House and Senate in the 2026 midterm elections.
— The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) September 1, 2026
Less than one year ago, Democrats had just a 20% chance of sweeping the midterms.
Election day is 63 days away. pic.twitter.com/MKXR0EkB0u
Massachusetts Senator Ed Markey won the state’s Democratic primary, NBC and AP projected, beating back a challenge from US Representative Seth Moulton, who argued he was too old to continue serving https://t.co/4kGmHAeXAZ
— Bloomberg (@business) September 2, 2026
Focus on Middle East conflict
US President Trump: US Striking Iranian Targets Near Strait Of Hormuz – TSL
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) September 1, 2026
– Strikes Are Retaliation For Iranian Sea Mine Attempts
– Any Iran Retaliation Will Be Met With 'Harder' Forcehttps://t.co/IAWhltUmZE
Iranian Media: Some Sources Report That Iranian Missiles Were Launched Towards US Bases In The Region. – Sabereen Newshttps://t.co/nBi2t1LGXu
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) September 1, 2026
US And Iran Trade Strikes In Latest Fight For Control Of Hormuz – WSJhttps://t.co/DOTaiTI5PZ
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) September 1, 2026
Markets
Economic Indicators and Prospects
Australia GDP SA (Q/Q) Q2: 0.4% (est 0.3%; prev 0.3%)
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) September 2, 2026
– GDP (Y/Y): 2.1% (est 1.8%; prev 2.5%)
Aussie homeowners brace for rate hike after surprise GDP result piles pressure on the Reserve Bank https://t.co/Zubx3EfPs4
— Daily Mail (@DailyMail) September 2, 2026
*Focus on AI
China Open-Source LLM Tracker
— Freda Duan (@FredaDuan) September 1, 2026
US$10-15B of total ARR, of which core LLM revenue (excluding Byte / Seedance) is ~$6-8B.
Growth has been phenomenal. Take Zhipu as an example (more data available as a public co.) ARR has grown 6x+ since March, while token usage is up >40x YTD.… pic.twitter.com/4OgqwYSwik
Housing
🇨🇳 #China Property Market Seen Gaining Momentum in September – Securities Times
— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) September 2, 2026
➡ China’s property market may gain momentum in September as a wave of housing support measures takes effect across multiple cities.
➡ Based on past experience, policy measures typically begin to…
Monetary Policy
Fiscal Policy
Trade, Politics and Geopolitics
China Derails Consensus On Communiqué After US-Hosted G20 – FThttps://t.co/rtD5LVqbRq
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) September 1, 2026
US, China debate 'nonsensitive' tariff cuts ahead of Trump-Xi summit https://t.co/Q9AxHtcmF3
— Nikkei Asia (@NikkeiAsia) September 1, 2026
AP: Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said Tuesday that 19 of the members of the G20 had agreed to address streams of “cheap exports” that cause global economic imbalances, but said China had dissented.https://t.co/oyv4t6RaCM
— Jonathan Cheng (@JChengWSJ) September 2, 2026
Markets
Stocks extended their slide as the global bond selloff deepened and crude prices spiked amid fading hopes for a near-term solution to the US-Israeli war with Iran https://t.co/P5zI8DBq4k pic.twitter.com/9whJHXalLg
— Reuters (@Reuters) September 2, 2026
U.S. DIESEL MARGINS HIT RECORD HIGH
— *Walter Bloomberg (@DeItaone) September 1, 2026
U.S. diesel refining margins surged above a record $106 per barrel as global fuel supplies tighten.
Disruptions from the Iran conflict, Strait of Hormuz and Ukrainian attacks on Russian refineries have intensified shortages.
Strong U.S.… pic.twitter.com/lti742jAR0
Economic Indicators and Prospects
Euro zone inflation rises above 3%, cementing ECB rate hike bets https://t.co/ZXHVvq2gpe https://t.co/ZXHVvq2gpe
— Reuters (@Reuters) September 1, 2026
Monetary Policy
ECB’s Nagel says slowdown in underlying inflation is good news https://t.co/Cck6cpjbVW via @KowalczeKamil pic.twitter.com/moXxkgiscC
— Zoe Schneeweiss (@ZSchneeweiss) September 1, 2026
Fiscal Policy
UK military expects Healey to spend 3% of GDP on defense by 2030 https://t.co/s9AdCVPzm0 via @alexwickham pic.twitter.com/OgQwl8XQxK
— Zoe Schneeweiss (@ZSchneeweiss) September 1, 2026
Ukraine parliament fails to pass parcel tax law tied to IMF, EU funding https://t.co/NoqXdsEM8Y https://t.co/NoqXdsEM8Y
— Reuters (@Reuters) September 1, 2026
Trade, Politics and Geopolitics
Chancellor Friedrich Merz delivered a warning that an election victory by Germany’s far right in the eastern state of Saxony-Anhalt would deter foreign business. But no voters were on hand to hear him. https://t.co/MEJmTUdyBc
— Bloomberg (@business) September 1, 2026
Putin’s Plan To Escalate The War In Ukraine – BBGhttps://t.co/0uvWzRZ1zT
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) September 1, 2026
Putin envoy warns of Russian economy going 'berserk' on war footing https://t.co/O47odIixD9 https://t.co/O47odIixD9
— Reuters (@Reuters) September 1, 2026
Former UK Prime Minister Starmer steps down from Parliament https://t.co/LOhPE51r14 via @PhilAldrick pic.twitter.com/rwyKySPFhr
— Zoe Schneeweiss (@ZSchneeweiss) September 1, 2026
*Note: Previous briefs can be found here