
Find here our morning brief which compiled the main macro news — released on Twitter — concerning Americas, Asia and Europe.
Markets
Correlation between the 10Y and oil is the highest since the GFC pic.twitter.com/p0YRh85m4V
— Global_Macro (@Marcomadness2) September 2, 2026
Global Investors now own close to $40 Trillion of U.S. Assets, the most in history 🚨 🚨 pic.twitter.com/x7sappQLjw
— Barchart (@Barchart) September 3, 2026
*Focus on AI
OpenAI Hits Back At Apple In Trade Secrets Lawsuit https://t.co/NW4HEQubzw
— zerohedge (@zerohedge) September 3, 2026
Lutnick said that Anthropic has patched its relationship with the Trump administration, signaling a possible end to months of sharp differences over security between the US and the AI developer https://t.co/kC3XcDD5Ph
— Bloomberg (@business) September 2, 2026
Economic Indicators and Prospects
🇺🇸 *ADP US AUG. PRIVATE EMPLOYMENT RISES 38,000; EST. +47K – BBG
— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) September 2, 2026
US Durable Goods Orders (M/M) Jul F: 1.1% (est 1.1%; prev 1.1%)
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) September 2, 2026
– Durables Ex-Transportation (M/M): 0.4% (est 0.4%; prev 0.4%)
– Cap Goods Orders Nondef Ex Air (M/M): 0.0% (est 0.3%; prev 0.2%)
– Cap Goods Ship Nondef Ex Air (M/M): 1.2% (est 1.4%; prev 1.4%)
🇺🇸 US retail diesel prices hit the highest since mid-2022, topping a peak seen during the early stages of the Iran war to approach a record – Bloomberg
— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) September 3, 2026
*The national average pump price climbed to $5.783 a gallon on Wednesday, surpassing the wartime peak set in April, and is…
🇺🇸🌎 US Gulf Coast diesel prices hit all-time high amid global supply disruptions – S&P Globalhttps://t.co/jZEv9sXOtv
— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) September 2, 2026
1yr inflation swap has zoomed from 1.8% to 2.5% @AugurInfinity pic.twitter.com/nce02KNFGa
— Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT 🍖 (@MikeZaccardi) September 2, 2026
BREAKING 🚨: Lumber
— Barchart (@Barchart) September 2, 2026
Lumber falls to its lowest price of the year and is approaching a bear market after plunging 17% from July's high 📉 📉 pic.twitter.com/V6dUXMqUeO
BREAKING: The 60+ day delinquency rate on US subprime auto loans is up to ~5.2%, the highest on record.
— The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) September 3, 2026
This figure has more than doubled over the last 4 years.
Serious delinquency rates on subprime auto loans are now ~1.7 percentage points above their 2008 Financial Crisis… pic.twitter.com/7T5fOEiTtr
Monetary Policy
New York Fed President John Williams maintained his view that "the trend in inflation" is "moving slowly down as some of the effects of the tariffs can move into the rearview mirror."
— Nick Timiraos (@NickTimiraos) September 2, 2026
In his CNBC interview, he didn't sound like someone itching to raise rates, but does note that…
🇺🇸 #Fed’s Beige Book Shows Economic Activity Up Modestly – Bloomberghttps://t.co/EvtItzusE1
— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) September 3, 2026
The US economy is less sensitive to interest rate increases by the Federal Reserve. To combat inflation and tame yields on long-dated debt, more aggressive hikes will be needed. That’s bad news for bonds. https://t.co/bWFpYGeEJh
— Bloomberg (@business) September 3, 2026
Fiscal Policy
🇺🇸🇮🇷 America now pays more to service its debt than to run its military, and the Iran war is pushing both numbers UP
— Mario Nawfal (@MarioNawfal) September 3, 2026
Net interest so far this fiscal year: $931 billion.
National defense: $804 billion.
The 10-year Treasury yield hit its highest in nearly three years Wednesday… pic.twitter.com/ZnqgMWR5fK
Trade, Politics and Geopolitics
Focus on Middle East conflict
BREAKING: President Trump is having private discussions with senior aides about potentially declaring the Iran War over, per WSJ.
— The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) September 3, 2026
Aides are reportedly advising President Trump that an escalation of the war beyond recent strikes could cost Republicans the midterm elections.
Qatar And UAE Turn To Rare LNG Ship Transfers As Hormuz Crisis Drags On https://t.co/OoBTZOvu0k
— zerohedge (@zerohedge) September 3, 2026
Markets
🇯🇵 Yen Surges With Traders on High Alert for Further Intervention – Bloomberghttps://t.co/DK7AhrEJ4a pic.twitter.com/GOUqQEA9nf
— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) September 2, 2026
Yen Traders Brace For Holiday Intervention Risk Around BoJ – BBGhttps://t.co/SNsfEYrc0S
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) September 3, 2026
Economic Indicators and Prospects
Australia Trade Balance Jul: A$1923M (est A$1500M; prev A$1929M)
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) September 3, 2026
– Exports (M/M): -3.3% (prev 9.6%)
– Imports (M/M): -2.5% (prev -0.2%)
Very strong El Nino to run through February as Asia impacts build https://t.co/yFxFuUQqol
— Nikkei Asia (@NikkeiAsia) September 3, 2026
Housing
🇨🇳 Limited Upside Seen for #China Home Prices Under New Rules – Securities Times
— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) September 3, 2026
➡ China’s housing market remains well supplied and lacks the conditions for a sharp increase in home prices, the Securities Times reports, citing industry experts.
➡ Responding to concerns that…
Monetary Policy
🇯🇵 #BOJ IS SAID TO FAVOR QUARTER-POINT HIKE, FLEXIBLE FUTURE PACE – BBG
— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) September 3, 2026
🇯🇵 #Japan | #BOJ Is Said to Favor Quarter-Point Hike, Flexible on Future Path – Bloomberghttps://t.co/jXz1TK4nk7
— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) September 3, 2026
Fiscal Policy
Trade, Politics and Geopolitics
🇨🇳 🌎 China-US Spat at G20 Largely Came Down to Dispute Over One Word – Bloomberghttps://t.co/u6PjLYuTK8 pic.twitter.com/CJaXkifP9e
— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) September 3, 2026
🇨🇳🇪🇺MOFCOM: China-EU talks must not impose unilateral demands or conditions
— CN Wire (@Sino_Market) September 3, 2026
MOFCOM spokesperson Huang Ling, responding to remarks by EU trade and economic security commissioner Šefčovič, said China-EU consultations at all levels should preserve a stable, balanced China-EU trade…
Markets
🇫🇷 French 10yr Yield prints a new 15yrs high (highest since Nov 2008), now at 4.268%.
— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) September 2, 2026
Here's a chart. pic.twitter.com/RScg62EzBm
— Neil Sethi NEW account (@neilsethinew) September 2, 2026
🇩🇪 Volkswagen's road to restructuring – Reutershttps://t.co/8b9FHq83G4 https://t.co/SJ6ohTgLin
— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) September 3, 2026
The rout in UK gilts means it really can’t afford to keep ducking cuts to gold-plated pensions and other indefensible public spending, writes @RosaFPrince https://t.co/hnYX3AwcjU via @opinion pic.twitter.com/UVsMzpt7dE
— Zoe Schneeweiss (@ZSchneeweiss) September 3, 2026
Economic Indicators and Prospects
🇩🇪 DIW raises German economic growth forecasts as exports beat expectations – Reutershttps://t.co/QL7OJiGWOu
— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) September 3, 2026
Germany's IFW Economic Institute Raises 2026 Economic Growth Forecast To 1.3% From 0.8% Previously, Maintains 2027 Forecast For 1.0% Growth
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) September 3, 2026
AfD election fears stoke alarm among German business leaders https://t.co/8wYzQDVfK9 via @ArneDelfs pic.twitter.com/TG6kjlEtEA
— Zoe Schneeweiss (@ZSchneeweiss) September 2, 2026
Eurozone S&P Global Services PM Aug F: 51.6 (est 51.7; prev 51.7)
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) September 3, 2026
– Composite PMI: 52.0 (est 52.1; prev 52.1)
🇪🇺 My proxies and regional surveys suggest #Eurozone PPI (July) should beat expectations ⚠
— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) September 3, 2026
➡ Bloomberg consensus:
*PPI MoM: 1.3%e v -0.3% prior
*PPI YoY: 5.5%e v 4.6% prior
Spain’s push on undocumented migrants distorts labor statistics https://t.co/duKH9u3r80 via @basteiro pic.twitter.com/SjO1DElLSK
— Zoe Schneeweiss (@ZSchneeweiss) September 2, 2026
🇨🇭 Swiss Inflation Jumps More Than Expected to Fastest in Two Years – Bloomberghttps://t.co/5anV5rvSyM pic.twitter.com/W7Zb12VeAl
— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) September 3, 2026
Switzerland GDP Q2 (Q/Q): 1.9% (est 1.7%; prev 0.7%; prev R 0.6%)
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) September 3, 2026
– GDP (Y/Y): 2.8% (est 2.2%; prev 0.5%)
– Sport Event Adjusted GDP (Q/Q) F: 1.5% (est 1.5%; prev 1.5%)
UK digital investment soars to dot-com boom levels on AI rollout https://t.co/gxHZwbqYgv via @tomelleryrees pic.twitter.com/VfFAnuFKek
— Zoe Schneeweiss (@ZSchneeweiss) September 3, 2026
UK S&P Global Services PMI Aug F: 52.5 (est 52.8; prev 52.8)
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) September 3, 2026
– Composite PMI: 52.5 (est 52.5; prev 52.5)
Monetary Policy
Merz to meet ECB Governing Council before Berlin rate meeting next week https://t.co/0PufZYpZ8J pic.twitter.com/KHeQdODC8b
— Zoe Schneeweiss (@ZSchneeweiss) September 3, 2026
Danish central bank intervenes again to defend currency peg https://t.co/Wn0uHqjXF7 via @sanne_wass pic.twitter.com/fF75MsKLGn
— Zoe Schneeweiss (@ZSchneeweiss) September 2, 2026
Fiscal Policy
🇫🇷 Déficit, dette, impôts : le rapporteur du Budget demande aux candidats à la présidentielle de sortir du bois – Les Echoshttps://t.co/BoUXerhON3https://t.co/ffw5OhX5Uo
— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) September 3, 2026
German tax-relief proposal reveals strife in Merz coalition https://t.co/Zp6MFycrui via @KowalczeKamil pic.twitter.com/fdagYtzApR
— Zoe Schneeweiss (@ZSchneeweiss) September 2, 2026
Energy
🇪🇺 #Europe’s #Gas Gamble Risks Higher Prices in Global Supply Fight – Bloomberghttps://t.co/9XK5S13M43 pic.twitter.com/Sg68e1vgZG
— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) September 3, 2026
Trade, Politics and Geopolitics
⚡️Update: Zelensky dismisses high-ranking SBU official, demands investigation after shootout between Ukraine's security services in Kyiv.
— The Kyiv Independent (@KyivIndependent) September 2, 2026
President Zelensky has dismissed Oleg Khramov, head of the SBU's department for the protection of state secrets.https://t.co/fpS5KuCG8k
⚠ #WeekAhead #Preview: Week 36 (2026) ⚠
— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) August 30, 2026
🌎 #G20 Ministers Gathering
🇨🇦 🇳🇿 #BoC and #RBNZ Meetings
🇺🇸 #Fed Beige Book
🇺🇸 🇨🇦 U.S. and Canada Employment Reports
🇪🇺 🇰🇷 #Eurozone, #Switzerland and #SouthKorea CPIs
…https://t.co/rKnvpYBKit
*Note: Previous briefs can be found here