M — Morning Briefs

Morning Brief: Rubio Orders Iranian Delegation to Depart; Asian Manufacturing Gains Momentum From Global AI Boom; Global Bonds Crash Again Amid Renewed Oil Pressures

01 octobre, 2026
Morning Brief

Find here our morning brief which compiled the main macro news — released on Twitter — concerning Americas, Asia and Europe.

Americas

Markets

🇺🇸 Extreme Volatility Divergence Exposes ‘Fragile Footing’ for S&P – Bloomberghttps://t.co/vmoDiHw48r pic.twitter.com/GMNcRGzRoU

— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) October 1, 2026

Q3 closed with 263 more decliners than advancers https://t.co/44z2OBqCwX pic.twitter.com/fyOsKJQVJM

— zerohedge (@zerohedge) September 30, 2026

Diesel crack spread soars to $110 pic.twitter.com/JrVoXV0RYr

— zerohedge (@zerohedge) September 30, 2026

*Focus on AI

Micron guidance and market outlook: https://t.co/TLbJUTk6S8 pic.twitter.com/f1RiXBYGzC

— zerohedge (@zerohedge) September 30, 2026

Micron Rises After Strong Revenue Guidance Offsets Slight Margin Miss https://t.co/Fjxa0UDR4g

— zerohedge (@zerohedge) September 30, 2026

Data Center share of total electricity use: 2024 vs 2030. VA could be as high as 57% pic.twitter.com/140WMky7sz

— zerohedge (@zerohedge) October 1, 2026

CBRE Group executives have a warning for AI upstarts hunting for data centers: Find a serious partner to guarantee lease payments or face an uphill battle securing new sites. https://t.co/DXEZR1Iy1M

— Bloomberg (@business) September 30, 2026

🇺🇸 AI borrowers face tough sell in risky corners of US credit market – Reutershttps://t.co/RwuSeNfOUz

— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) October 1, 2026

🇺🇲 FTC opens sweeping probe of Anthropic, OpenAI and other super intelligence models – NY Posthttps://t.co/JJhbU7SmT8

— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) September 30, 2026

Economic Indicators and Prospects

Core PCE Prints Cooler Than Expected Due To Change In Methodology, As Savings Rate Plunges To 3 Year Low https://t.co/1EB7FooRVy

— zerohedge (@zerohedge) September 30, 2026

PCE in charts: while core did miss, supercore posted a surprising MoM surge despite the methodology change https://t.co/djr8DugmK3 pic.twitter.com/gasT6MUdPY

— zerohedge (@zerohedge) September 30, 2026

Headline PCE prices rose 0.31% in August (after +0.05% in July and -0.10% in June).

The six-month annualized inflation rate was 3.6%, versus 3.3% for six months before that and 2.3% for the year-earlier period.

The 12-month change was 3.4%. pic.twitter.com/bLfz6wdeVG

— Nick Timiraos (@NickTimiraos) September 30, 2026

🇺🇸 US Consumer Spending Jumps by Most in a Year Despite High Prices – Bloomberghttps://t.co/ujf8jgz0fe pic.twitter.com/dXwMVdDejw

— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) October 1, 2026

US second-quarter GDP revised higher amid robust consumer spending https://t.co/En2x5m5CxQ https://t.co/En2x5m5CxQ

— Reuters (@Reuters) October 1, 2026

Atlanta Fed GDPNow estimate for Q3 GDP drops to 3.7%, from 5.0% on September 25 pic.twitter.com/C2Y8vtRC1y

— zerohedge (@zerohedge) September 30, 2026

Monetary Policy

Fed's Kashkari says inflation is still too high, pencils in one more hike this yearhttps://t.co/cmKRjNKb0d

— investingLive (@investingLive_) September 30, 2026

Fed's Cook: Inflation Has Been Too High For Too Long
– Committed To Returning Inflation To Target While Preserving Labour Market Strengthhttps://t.co/E6DZbiXXis

— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) September 30, 2026

Goldman saw the plunge in market odds, pushes back its next Fed rate forecast from October to December and sees "a strong chance that the FOMC will ultimately conclude that additional rate hikes are unnecessary."

"Based on today’s inflation report, we now expect 3.0% growth for… https://t.co/NYB2xkFMas

— zerohedge (@zerohedge) September 30, 2026

Trump Says Powell Should Be Forced To Resign From Fed Board – BBGhttps://t.co/h6rDb1fPBv

— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) September 30, 2026

This report became invested with so much attention because it provided the path to satisfy Powell's initial threshold for leaving the Fed. He said, at a minimum, he would not do so until the probe was “well and truly over, with transparency and finality."

But he later seemed to…

— Nick Timiraos (@NickTimiraos) September 30, 2026

Trade, Politics and Geopolitics

US Tells France And Germany To Release Emergency Diesel Stocks Or Face Possible US Diesel Export Ban – RTRS Cites Three Sources Close To The Discussions
– US Wants The EU To Release 120 Million Barrels Of Diesel In The Next 6 Months #OOTT

— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) October 1, 2026

USTR Greer: 10 More Trade Deals Are On The Way – Fox Business
– ‘Fairly Frequent’ Contact With Canada Counterpart
– If Canada Wants A Deal, Our Door Is Always Open

— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) September 30, 2026

TRUMP SAYS LAST U.S. FORCES ARE LEAVING IRAQ pic.twitter.com/utHZyFoT2c

— zerohedge (@zerohedge) September 30, 2026

Brazil Election Polls Too Close To Call, But Polymarket Gives Bolsonaro Clear Lead https://t.co/83Xdkkknd4

— zerohedge (@zerohedge) October 1, 2026

Focus on Middle East conflict

🇺🇸 🇮🇷 Scoop: Rubio ordered Iranian delegation to leave the country, U.S. official says – Axioshttps://t.co/pEbbB7JRyq

— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) October 1, 2026

"Zero Hormuz": Abu Dhabi Crown Prince Readies Tens Of Billions To Turn Fujairah Into Hormuz Bypass https://t.co/JQpEDEf7ml

— zerohedge (@zerohedge) October 1, 2026

US oil industry warns diesel prices will not return to normal for a year https://t.co/BiybLZAftB

— Financial Times (@FT) September 30, 2026

Asia/Middle East

Markets

Focus Turns To Japan As Source Of Relentless Treasury Selling https://t.co/o5VBVsI74V

— zerohedge (@zerohedge) September 30, 2026

🇨🇳 #DeepSeek Open-Sources Software Tools for Huawei AI Chips – The Informationhttps://t.co/uqxgsitwix

— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) October 1, 2026

China’s Tencent Leases 100,000 Chips From Oracle To Accelerate AI Push – FThttps://t.co/FmWMkS6qtr

— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) October 1, 2026

Economic Indicators and Prospects

🌏 Asian factory activity expands thanks to global AI boom – Reutershttps://t.co/bJZlrtns1D

— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) October 1, 2026

🚨 In September, Korean exports reached $120.9 billion, up 83.5% year-on-year. Semiconductor exports surged 263% to $60.3 billion, and chips now account for nearly half of the country’s monthly exports. AI is clearly reshaping the macroeconomic data of a major industrial economy… pic.twitter.com/ALFaea7WpE

— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) October 1, 2026

Australia Trade Bal Aug: A$495M (est A$2000M; prev A$1923M; prevR A$1351M)

– Exports (M/M): 3.7% (prev -3.3%)
– Imports (M/M): 5.8% (prev -2.5%)

— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) October 1, 2026

🇯🇵 #Japan's patchy business mood takes pressure off BOJ for immediate hike – Reutershttps://t.co/QIncUdVKR5

— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) October 1, 2026

Monetary Policy

#BankofJapan policymakers saw a need to raise interest rates more quickly or move borrowing costs closer to the central bank’s desired level relatively soon, according to a summary of opinions from its September policy meeting released on Thursday, Reuters reported.#ETMarkets…

— ETMarkets (@ETMarkets) October 1, 2026

The yen weakened against the dollar after a summary of opinions from the Bank of Japan’s September meeting disappointed investors looking for signs that policymakers may be preparing for another move this month https://t.co/1OPs0LXqrO

— Bloomberg (@business) October 1, 2026

Fiscal Policy

🇨🇳 #China Eyes More Targeted Fiscal Support After Growth Slowdown – Bloomberg
*MOF (Chinese): https://t.co/0NPhpPLGbShttps://t.co/ZD4ussG8Ft

— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) October 1, 2026

🇨🇳 *XI SAYS #CHINA ECONOMY HAD WITHSTOOD PRESSURE: XINHUA – BBG
*XI URGES STRIVING TO FULFILL ANNUAL TARGETS AND TASKS: XINHUA
*XI SAYS TO FURTHER DEEPEN REFORM, OPENING UP: XINHUA
*XI: RESOLUTELY CRACK DOWN ON "TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE"
*XI: TO DRIVE ECONOOMY TO PERFORM WELL
*XI…

— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) September 30, 2026

Trade, Politics and Geopolitics

China extends probes into US trade barriers until December https://t.co/fbUWHbpMfN

— The Straits Times (@straits_times) September 30, 2026

Taiwan Plans $930 Million Sea Drone Buildout As China Expands Maritime Pressure https://t.co/MUunMDKDBF

— zerohedge (@zerohedge) October 1, 2026

Europe

Markets

🛢️ BRENT OIL HITS SESSION HIGH ABOVE $100 A BARREL – BBG

— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) October 1, 2026

🇬🇧 *UK 30-YEAR BOND YIELD CLIMBS TO 6% FOR FIRST TIME SINCE 1998 – BBG

🇺🇸 *US 10-YEAR YIELD RISES TO 5.33%, HIGHEST SINCE 2002

— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) October 1, 2026

BOE warns gilt market faces growing spillover risks https://t.co/9BzuK83tdk pic.twitter.com/XFqUs4nKBY

— Zoe Schneeweiss (@ZSchneeweiss) September 30, 2026

🇫🇷 The French 10yr Yield hits a fresh new 24-yrs highhttps://t.co/tU5Hoskz7r

— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) October 1, 2026

Economic Indicators and Prospects

🚨 Germany’s industrial competitiveness index fell from 21 in 2024 to just 3 in 2026. When almost every major industrial sector deteriorates at the same time, it means the problem looks much more structural.

🇩🇪🇨🇳 Germany probably had one of the best suited economic models to the… pic.twitter.com/HdZDu20Tmh

— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) September 30, 2026

Switzerland CPI (Y/Y) Sep: 1.0% (est 1.0%; prev 0.8%)
– CPI (M/M): 0.0% (est 0.0%; prev 0.4%)
– CPI Core (Y/Y): 0.5% (est 0.5%; prev 0.4%)
– CPI EU Harmonised (Y/Y): 1.2% (prev 0.9%)
– CPI EU Harmonised (M/M): -0.1% (prev 0.1%)

— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) October 1, 2026

Swiss inflation quickens to 2-year high driven by oil and franc https://t.co/eO1aYEfLSI via @bbenrath pic.twitter.com/M8K5IXR3IN

— Zoe Schneeweiss (@ZSchneeweiss) October 1, 2026

Housing

UK house prices in sharpest drop since May, Nationwide says https://t.co/rODbNzkV9C via @irinaanghel12 pic.twitter.com/c5sayAbQOT

— Zoe Schneeweiss (@ZSchneeweiss) October 1, 2026

UK Nationwide House Price NSA (Y/Y) Sep: 0.8% (est 1.3%; prev 1.6%)
– Nationwide House Price (M/M): -0.2% (est 0.0%; prev 0.2%)

— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) October 1, 2026

Monetary Policy

ECB Asks EU To Start Finding Successor To Isabel Schnabel

— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) October 1, 2026

Fiscal Policy

France to lay out its budget in latest test of investor nerves https://t.co/WOT0rLqwr1 via @WHorobin pic.twitter.com/3UzCgY71e3

— Zoe Schneeweiss (@ZSchneeweiss) October 1, 2026

Portugal’s opposition Socialist Party says it will ask lawmakers to abstain in an initial vote on the 2027 budget, boosting chances for the minority center-right government to push its fiscal plan through parliament https://t.co/2r1UaETTBi via @halmeida5 pic.twitter.com/SYLGyeqdMP

— Zoe Schneeweiss (@ZSchneeweiss) September 30, 2026

Greece calls for EU fiscal flexibility to address energy costs https://t.co/YY4bo7fx0p via @NikasSotiris pic.twitter.com/23ZHUmZHSq

— Zoe Schneeweiss (@ZSchneeweiss) September 30, 2026

Trade, Politics and Geopolitics

MI5 accuses Chinese institute of spying on the UK’s AI research https://t.co/IIlrrBa9SR via @alexwickham pic.twitter.com/ZVU8G5bjug

— Zoe Schneeweiss (@ZSchneeweiss) September 30, 2026

UK ends migrant returns deal with France tackling small boats https://t.co/WEz43gNfuE via @LucyGJWhite pic.twitter.com/2iCMSq25Us

— Zoe Schneeweiss (@ZSchneeweiss) September 30, 2026

UK’s path back to the EU will hit hard post-Brexit realities https://t.co/w8uPbPJTOQ pic.twitter.com/sUpOwhx7rM

— Zoe Schneeweiss (@ZSchneeweiss) September 30, 2026

Europe waits the UK’s next move on Brexit reset https://t.co/sg2zePjMPX via @suzannelynch1 pic.twitter.com/XTcLpb6PSn

— Zoe Schneeweiss (@ZSchneeweiss) September 30, 2026

Germany moves closer to blocking Chinese logistics takeover https://t.co/J8F4Qn9xuU via @KowalczeKamil pic.twitter.com/HhlHtBan11

— Zoe Schneeweiss (@ZSchneeweiss) September 30, 2026

Other Areas And Global Economy

⚠ #WeekAhead #Preview: Week 40 (2026) ⚠️

🇺🇸 U.S. #Jobs Report
🇺🇸 🇪🇺 🇦🇺 🇰🇷 🇯🇵 U.S., Eurozone, Australia, SK and Tokyo #Inflation Reports
🇦🇺 #RBA Meeting
🌎 Central Bank Speeches from the #Fed, #ECB, and #BOE
…https://t.co/W0nfzJtUnm

— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) September 27, 2026