
Find here our morning brief which compiled the main macro news — released on Twitter — concerning Americas, Asia and Europe.
Markets
Options traders seem unperturbed by the US midterm elections, creating a potentially precarious setup for a stock market already dealing with a rout in bonds and uncertainty about the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate path. https://t.co/UHgYQ5bO9H
— Bloomberg (@business) October 2, 2026
🇺🇲 Citadel Securities’ Rubner Sees Retail Cash Reloading on Stocks – Bloomberghttps://t.co/EN9Q6IU8ao pic.twitter.com/UOe0ZDqIe6
— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) October 2, 2026
While the S&P 500 is less than 2% from a record, everything from interest-rate sensitive small-cap stocks to banks and utility companies are getting battered https://t.co/fNmQnExwcI
— Bloomberg (@business) October 1, 2026
MSFT, NVDA, AAPL and META alone added about 300 points to the S&P in Q3, more than 200% of the index's total gain. The other 499-ish stocks together subtracted about 150 points: Citadel
— zerohedge (@zerohedge) October 2, 2026
trapdoor https://t.co/SeVOEKou6r pic.twitter.com/fLK2l8XTTw
— zerohedge (@zerohedge) October 2, 2026
*Focus on AI
Source: https://t.co/EvPfZ2lFtD
— zerohedge (@zerohedge) October 2, 2026
*AMAZON SEEKS TO OFFLOAD $8B NVIDIA CHIPS TO INVESTORS: FT
— zerohedge (@zerohedge) October 2, 2026
SPV sale leaseback. More off-balance sheet gimmicks
Economic Indicators and Prospects
ISM Sees Manufacturing Remaining Robust, Pushing Up Input Prices
— Neil Sethi NEW account (@neilsethinew) October 1, 2026
ISM Manufacturing Index indicates expansion for a ninth month — the longest streak since 2022 — but prices paid jump 6.8 points to the highest since May.https://t.co/yUGqQFlXCz https://t.co/kdnb09uYCD pic.twitter.com/XYiYvRnxhL
Initial Jobless Claims Remain Near 57-Year Lows; Continuing Claims a 3-Year Low
— Neil Sethi NEW account (@neilsethinew) October 1, 2026
Initial unemployment claims held below 200,000 for a third straight week (only ninth week since 1969), while continuing claims dropped to their lowest since March 2023.https://t.co/x3JrZN8MSK https://t.co/VUa7H2Rc4U pic.twitter.com/oF22sQtdnv
US Initial Jobless Claims Sep 26: 197K (est 200K; prev 197K; prev R 198K)
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) October 1, 2026
– Continuing Claims Sep 19: 1.701M (est 1.725M; prev 1.719M; prev R 1712K)
*Focus on U.S. Employment Report
September Jobs Preview And How To Trade It: Beware A Bond Squeeze As August Seasonals Reverse https://t.co/KANK8NCrCE
— zerohedge (@zerohedge) October 2, 2026
Little drama seen in final report before midterm elections https://t.co/pDrirdx6Rn
— Bloomberg (@business) October 2, 2026
Monetary Policy
Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan says the Fed likely will need to raise rates by at least another 50 bps to ensure inflation doesn’t settle above the central bank’s 2% goal.
— Nick Timiraos (@NickTimiraos) October 1, 2026
Logan said those additional increases, together with September’s, would merely reverse the three cuts the…
Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson signals officials may want more time before raising rates again, echoing NY Fed's John Williams. Two of the Fed's top leaders are now obliquely casting doubt on an October hike that had been increasingly priced by investors a few days ago.
— Nick Timiraos (@NickTimiraos) October 1, 2026
From… https://t.co/X10vhmJvat
🇺🇸 Jefferson Says #Fed May Need More Time to Weigh Next Move – Bloomberghttps://t.co/kanY7ZpF0R
— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) October 2, 2026
Fed's Kashkari: 'I Don't Have A Strong View' About October Rate Hike
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) October 1, 2026
– Is Open-minded About How Fast Fed Should Raise Interest Rates
– Says His September Rate Projections Were For One More Hike This Year, another In 2027
– Doesn't See Meaningful Tightening In Financial Conditions…
Trade, Politics and Geopolitics
🛢️ 🇺🇲🇪🇺 US TELLS FRANCE AND GERMANY TO RELEASE EMERGENCY DIESEL STOCKS OR FACE POSSIBLE US DIESEL EXPORT BAN, SAY THREE SOURCES CLOSE TO THE DISCUSSIONS – RTRS
— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) October 1, 2026
*US WANTS THE EU TO RELEASE 120 MILLION BARRELS OF DIESEL IN THE NEXT 6 MONTHS, ONE OF THE SOURCES SAID
Donald Trump’s threat to halt U.S. diesel exports could leave Europe’s truckers facing another sharp rise in fuel costs — and consumers paying more for goods.https://t.co/rixISvSl6j
— POLITICOEurope (@POLITICOEurope) October 2, 2026
EXCLUSIVE: US tells France and Germany to release diesel stocks or face US export ban, sources say https://t.co/fntycdbWkh https://t.co/fntycdbWkh
— Reuters (@Reuters) October 1, 2026
EXCLUSIVE: US slows aircraft-part exports to China as Trump seeks leverage in trade negotiations, sources say https://t.co/rQBA3koIZv https://t.co/rQBA3koIZv
— Reuters (@Reuters) October 1, 2026
US won't 'sit there and take' overproduction from China: USTR Greer https://t.co/h8f3LVUnrg
— Nikkei Asia (@NikkeiAsia) October 1, 2026
South Korea to build 8 nuclear power plants in US, invest $120bn
— Nikkei Asia (@NikkeiAsia) October 1, 2026
Seoul says it will only invest in commercially viable projectshttps://t.co/bB5Nqyxd0b
EXCLUSIVE: US sees Chinese invasion of Taiwan unlikely next year despite 2027 timeline, sources say https://t.co/HIXnztLIP9 https://t.co/HIXnztLIP9
— Reuters (@Reuters) October 1, 2026
Focus on Middle East conflict
🇺🇲🇮🇷 US Adds Carrier and 10,000 Troops to Mideast, Official Says – Bloomberghttps://t.co/4rkakbRTgm
— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) October 2, 2026
🇮🇷🇺🇲 Iran Offers to Allow Nuclear Inspectors If Sanctions Are Eased – Bloomberghttps://t.co/1fnREALkFr
— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) October 2, 2026
🇺🇲 🇮🇷 *TRUMP SEES RAMPING UP BOMBING IRAN AFTER MIDTERMS POSSIBLE:TIMEhttps://t.co/wiLhdbqYUf
— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) October 1, 2026
US Sent More Patriots To Protect Saudi, Qatari Energy Sites – Axioshttps://t.co/cth1LxZQmY
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) October 2, 2026
Trump Explains Why He's Okay With North Korea Having Nukes, But Not Iran https://t.co/ciWqu7PpvP
— zerohedge (@zerohedge) October 2, 2026
Markets
Hong Kong’s stock benchmark led losses in Asia as trading resumed after a holiday, pressured by a surge in US yields and disappointment over China’s latest stimulus measures https://t.co/RjKxWOI21b
— Bloomberg (@business) October 2, 2026
Japan’s bond market selloff is intensifying:
— Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv) October 1, 2026
Japan’s 10-year government bond yield is up 7 basis points to 3.12%, its highest level since 1996.
The 30-year yield is also up 7 basis points to 4.19%, near its highest level on record.
The pressure comes as markets weigh further… pic.twitter.com/8bRbzUuFpC
🌎 Global Credit Market Starts to Sputter as Jumbo Deals Drag – Bloomberghttps://t.co/PSM6FirOPG pic.twitter.com/ELBOX2dYnk
— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) October 2, 2026
A Chinese financing company owned by several local government entities has funded the purchase of restricted Nvidia chips, according to documents filed with Beijing regulators https://t.co/x2V9vJtgkK
— Bloomberg (@business) October 2, 2026
Economic Indicators and Prospects
🇯🇵 #Tokyo #Inflation Acceleration Will Keep #BOJ Alert for Overshoot – Bloomberghttps://t.co/Z4hp7D1W51 pic.twitter.com/ZZYiPyJQRr
— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) October 2, 2026
Tokyo Core Inflation Jumps In Sep, Bolstering Case For Further BoJ Hikes – RTRShttps://t.co/3NsEbkvXW1
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) October 2, 2026
Japan Jobless Rate Aug: 2.5% (est 2.4%; prev 2.4%)
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) October 1, 2026
– Job-To-Applicant Ratio: 1.18 (est 1.18; prev 1.18)
South Korea September inflation eases to 2.9% y/y, matches forecast https://t.co/u33HsZ8MM8
— Reuters Asia (@ReutersAsia) October 2, 2026
Monetary Policy
🇯🇵 #Japan Minister Declines to Elaborate on Remarks at BOJ Meeting – Bloomberghttps://t.co/h2YXgd8TSP
— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) October 2, 2026
BOJ debated more rate hikes to adjust 'accommodative' conditions: opinion summary https://t.co/54EZESXZrw
— Nikkei Asia (@NikkeiAsia) October 1, 2026
Trade, Politics and Geopolitics
Chinese refiners suspend October fuel exports, one cancels cargoes, sources say https://t.co/KmNRAmJ7aK https://t.co/KmNRAmJ7aK
— Reuters (@Reuters) October 1, 2026
Philippines sends largest ship, aircraft to drive away Chinese vessel in waters near Taiwan https://t.co/ng5iTQRTi4 https://t.co/ng5iTQRTi4
— Reuters (@Reuters) October 1, 2026
Markets
Volvo Cars Withdraws Full Year 2026 Outlook On Volume And Cash Flow
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) October 2, 2026
– Q3 26 Global Sales Fall 10.7% Y/Y To 141,609 pic.twitter.com/ceNhnKVcUx
Economic Indicators and Prospects
🇪🇺 #EUROZONE CPI YOY FLASH ACTUAL 3.8% (FORECAST 3.7%, PREVIOUS 3.2%) https://t.co/UVi5PXFUdNhttps://t.co/vIWKKICAdN pic.twitter.com/bjqSzxIkTC
— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) October 2, 2026
🇪🇺 Euro-Zone Inflation Tops Estimates to Hit Three-Year High – Bloomberghttps://t.co/WTAlBt9XN2 pic.twitter.com/aIcevK080K
— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) October 2, 2026
Eurozone CPI Estimate (Y/Y) Sep P: 3.8% (est 3.7%; prev 3.2%)
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) October 2, 2026
– CPI Core (Y/Y): 2.5% (est 2.5%; prev 2.4%)
– CPI (M/M): 0.6% (est 0.5%; prev 0.4%)
– CPI (Y/Y): 3.8% (est 3.7%; prev 3.2%)
Italy Retail Sales (Y/Y) Aug: 0.5% (prev 0.8%)
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) October 2, 2026
– Retail Sales (M/M): 0.3% (prev -0.4%)
Spain Unemployment Change Sep: 23.6K (prev 44.4K)
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) October 2, 2026
– Employment Net Change (M/M): 108.8K (prev 83.8K)
UK DMP 1 Year CPI Expectations Sep: 3.3% (est 3.3%; prev 3.1%)
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) October 2, 2026
– 3M Output Price Expectations: 3.7% (est 3.8%; prev 3.8%)
UK Prelim Sept. New Car Registrations Rise 12.1% From Year Ago
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) October 2, 2026
🌎 Fuel Subsidies May Top $1 Trillion As Iran War Drags, UN Says – Bloomberghttps://t.co/dPpQzFTmZV pic.twitter.com/wRHlBhMIzK
— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) October 2, 2026
World FAO World Food Price Index Sep: 136 (prev 133.3; prev R 134.0)
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) October 2, 2026
Housing
Europe's Housing Crisis Is An Immigration Crisis, Berlin Data Confirms https://t.co/2ikAjD7Skb
— zerohedge (@zerohedge) October 2, 2026
Monetary Policy
ECB's Rehn: Higher Energy Prices Bring Us Closer To The ECB’s Adverse Scenario For Inflation
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) October 2, 2026
– ECB Projections Subject To Very High, Pervasive Uncertainty
– Rise In Long-Term Interest Rates Will Slow Growth And Reduce The Pass-Through Of Energy Shock To Prices, Wages
– One…
🇪🇺 #ECB's Rehn says soaring yields may curb inflation impact of expensive energy – Reutershttps://t.co/ms3jPPESIq
— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) October 2, 2026
Fiscal Policy
Le Pen says she would give France a ‘golden rule’ to slash its deficit https://t.co/M7eWG9FUDm via @WHorobin pic.twitter.com/TU3XYC487J
— Zoe Schneeweiss (@ZSchneeweiss) October 2, 2026
Trade, Politics and Geopolitics
France Has Proposed Plan To Release 50 M Barrels Of Diesel From Europe And 50 M Barrels Of Crude Oil Across IEA Members – RTRS Cites Source Familiar With Details Of The Discussion
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) October 2, 2026
– Any Agreement On Stock Releases Should Include US Commitment To Avoid Unilateral Diesel Export Ban
🇪🇺 🇨🇳 ‘Tough’ talks with China have yet to deliver, EU trade chief says – Politicohttps://t.co/JiAHBYpBFnhttps://t.co/QEVhi87ACV
— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) October 2, 2026
ICYMI | Burnham Leaving The Door Open To Snap General Election In May 2027 – IPaperhttps://t.co/p91Q8B4bkH
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) October 2, 2026
Putin Has Told Military Leaders To Abandon Rules Of War, Zelenskyy Says – FThttps://t.co/LmyxeGdpoD
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) October 2, 2026
Russia Expels Hungarian Diplomats In Stunning Break With Orban Era https://t.co/FonQVtSZPK
— zerohedge (@zerohedge) October 2, 2026
Defunct US-Russia Arms Control Talks Should Have Started 'Yesterday': Kremlin https://t.co/6P0NYq90jJ
— zerohedge (@zerohedge) October 2, 2026
⚠ #WeekAhead #Preview: Week 40 (2026) ⚠️
— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) September 27, 2026
🇺🇸 U.S. #Jobs Report
🇺🇸 🇪🇺 🇦🇺 🇰🇷 🇯🇵 U.S., Eurozone, Australia, SK and Tokyo #Inflation Reports
🇦🇺 #RBA Meeting
🌎 Central Bank Speeches from the #Fed, #ECB, and #BOE
…https://t.co/W0nfzJtUnm
🌎 World #food prices rose in September to their highest in nearly four years as logistics disruptions and weather concerns affected crop markets, the United Nations' Food and Agriculture Organization said.
— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) October 2, 2026
*Link: https://t.co/DtgXa4jnfe pic.twitter.com/qxw6OqzO29