Morning Brief: Focus on FOMC Amid Oil Crisis; Japan’s Export Growth Stays Solid; U.K. Inflation Rises to Five-Month High
Find here our morning brief which compiled the main macro news — released on Twitter — concerning Americas, Asia and Europe.
Americas
Markets
🇺🇸 US 10-Year Yield Rises to Highest Since 2007 as Fed Looms – Bloomberghttps://t.co/9m9IdSv6VU pic.twitter.com/31hVRxrSKb
— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) September 15, 2026
This is still one of the most important macro divergences in markets today.
— Otavio (Tavi) Costa (@TaviCosta) September 16, 2026
Ever since the US seized Russian assets, we have seen this historical relationship come apart.
Gold is now the main collateral for central banks.
Meanwhile, the current trajectory of real yields is… pic.twitter.com/baPq59J665
Foreign investors are now buying more U.S. Stocks than Treasuries, for only the 3rd time this century (Global Financial Crisis and Covid) 🚨 🚨 pic.twitter.com/fXMJ7MKP8v
— Barchart (@Barchart) September 15, 2026
🚨 Avec le conflit en Iran qui fait rage, le marché du pétrole continue de se fragmenter géographiquement entre les endroits où il y a du pétrole mais où il est extrêmement difficile de le sortir, et ceux où les raffineries sont prêtes à payer n’importe quel prix pour obtenir… pic.twitter.com/zXAnLxaFBK
— Finneko (@finneko_prgrm) September 16, 2026
*Focus on AI
OpenRouter users spent more on OpenAI models than on Anthropic models last week.
— OpenRouter (@OpenRouter) September 15, 2026
This hasn't happened for more than 2.5 years pic.twitter.com/oITqYWOpeL
Economic Indicators and Prospects
🇺🇸 US Household Income Rose to Record in 2025 as Poverty Fell – Bloomberghttps://t.co/L9ybBh9HFU pic.twitter.com/KGSwkyQfqo
— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) September 16, 2026
Monetary Policy
🇺🇸 History Shows Fed Will Deliver Rate Hike Markets Locked In – Bloomberghttps://t.co/Hw3VYSPE71 pic.twitter.com/1Zl8gSI6tD
— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) September 16, 2026
Fed Should Defy Trump With Rate Rise, Top Economists Say – FThttps://t.co/1lqWqoYOfw
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) September 16, 2026
Fiscal Policy
Federal Employees Were Paid Almost $10 Billion Not to Work Thanks to DOGE: Report https://t.co/E5WAnwvLJu
— Mediaite (@Mediaite) September 16, 2026
Iran war cost hits $38 billion, forecast to rise $3 billion a month, CBO says https://t.co/vf4bbZGgZZ https://t.co/vf4bbZGgZZ
— Reuters (@Reuters) September 15, 2026
Trade, Politics and Geopolitics
🇺🇸 How Popular Is A.I. With Voters? Not Very, a New Poll Finds – NYThttps://t.co/OPT9QsFvF5
— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) September 16, 2026
Bessent Defends Trump Economic Policies, Reveals Plans To Meet Chinese Official – RTRShttps://t.co/VLWtEye9tS
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) September 15, 2026
🇺🇸🇨🇳 US-China Discuss Cutting Some Tariffs as Leaders Prepare to Meet – Bloomberghttps://t.co/8bh0HE6Rf5
— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) September 16, 2026
US Pressures Mexico To Box Out China’s AI Hardware Exports – WSJ https://t.co/R2Zan09P6x
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) September 15, 2026
Focus on Middle East conflict
🛢️ 🇸🇦 🇪🇺 Aramco defers, cancels some European Sep crude: Sources – Argushttps://t.co/s7LK3bRRqi
— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) September 16, 2026
🛢️ 🇺🇸🌏 It Costs a Record $44.8 Million to Ship US Crude Oil to Asia – Bloomberghttps://t.co/M38uz5DUeK pic.twitter.com/4bsT2zXXVP
— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) September 16, 2026
China Urges US And Iran To Return To Islamabad Memorandum – China Foreign Ministryhttps://t.co/i1Dpd6Nm1s
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) September 16, 2026
US, Israeli And Arab Military Chiefs Held Secret Meeting On Iran – @axios https://t.co/epvu8ZA8R8
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) September 15, 2026
Asia/Middle East
Markets
🤯Japan is entering its fastest rate-hiking cycle in decades:
— Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv) September 15, 2026
The Bank of Japan is expected to raise its policy rate by 25 bps to 1.25% this week, marking its 3rd hike in less than 10 months and the fastest pace of tightening since 1990.
The move comes as the Yen remains weak,… pic.twitter.com/fYRtYf73DB
SK hynix and its labor union have reached an agreement on performance bonuses.
— Jukan (@jukan05) September 16, 2026
Under the agreement, 50% of the bonus will be paid in cash, while the remaining 50% will be paid in company shares.
SK hynix had originally planned to pay the entire performance bonus in cash.
This…
Economic Indicators and Prospects
🇯🇵 #Japan’s Export Growth Stays Solid as Shipments of Chips Jump – Bloomberghttps://t.co/blxtPRkXhc pic.twitter.com/EJ5PdahWeS
— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) September 16, 2026
Japan Core Machine Orders (M/M) Jul: -3.7% (est -1.2%; prev 9.7%)
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) September 15, 2026
– Core Machine Orders (Y/Y): 11.2% (est 9.6%; prev 16.9%)
Monetary Policy
🇯🇵 #Japan | #BOJ eyes rate hikes to fight inflation, but market fears impact on yields – Nikkeihttps://t.co/OPSBF6rzga
— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) September 16, 2026
BREAKING: Chinese gold ETFs added +11 tonnes of gold in August, marking their 2nd consecutive monthly increase.
— The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) September 16, 2026
This brings their total gold holdings up to 293 tonnes, the highest level since April and the 3rd-highest reading on record.
This comes as investor demand surged,… pic.twitter.com/8dnKyKam95
Trade, Politics and Geopolitics
China’s gasoline and diesel inventories are plunging as refiners grapple with a tightening domestic market, raising the chance the government may move to limit fuel exports again. https://t.co/VBtW4Myt8s
— Bloomberg (@business) September 16, 2026
🇺🇸🇻🇳Documents show US and Vietnamese companies are expected to announce 29 agreements in New York next week, covering energy, technology, aviation and finance; many are expected to be non-binding. Chevron, ExxonMobil, Citigroup and Qualcomm are among US firms expected to sign…
— CN Wire (@Sino_Market) September 16, 2026
Europe
Markets
BREAKING 🚨: France
— Barchart (@Barchart) September 16, 2026
France's 10-Year Bond Yield hits 4.5% for the first time since the Global Financial Crisis 🤯 👀 pic.twitter.com/JGdIcVUzQk
Economic Indicators and Prospects
🇬🇧 UK Inflation Rises to Five-Month High Before BOE Decision – Bloomberghttps://t.co/sZoCxeriei pic.twitter.com/mMogzbfqZM
— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) September 16, 2026
Eurozone Industrial Production WDA (Y/Y) Jul: 0.0% (est -0.1%; prev 0.1%; prev R -0.3%)
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) September 16, 2026
– Industrial Production SA (M/M): -0.1% (est -0.2%; prev 0.0%; prev R -0.1%)
ECB Wage Tracker Q2 2027: 2.768% (prev 2.664%)https://t.co/OFvJDMexzt
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) September 16, 2026
ECB Wage Tracker Jun 2027: 2.851% (prev 2.814%)https://t.co/3ElPId8RNV
🇪🇺 Euro-Zone Wage Growth Set to Accelerate in 2027, ECB Says – Bloomberghttps://t.co/mLnz7JFFRD pic.twitter.com/yzVZAJeecR
— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) September 16, 2026
Monetary Policy
FRANCE BACKS KNOT FOR ECB PRESIDENT
— *Walter Bloomberg (@DeItaone) September 15, 2026
France would support former Dutch central-bank chief Klaas Knot to succeed Christine Lagarde as ECB president, provided a French candidate receives the powerful chief economist role, Reuters reports.
The proposal reportedly has Macron’s…
Fiscal Policy
EU’s Von Der Leyen: Clear Fiscal Choices Will Have To Be Made To Ensure Fiscal Sustainability
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) September 16, 2026
– Trade Deficit With China Has Reached A Tipping Point
– Dialogue With China Must Lead To Results
– Will Use All Tools Available On Trade With China
A Reform UK government would be great news for crypto. But taking the industry’s money might not be as smart as Farage thinks it is, writes Matthew Brooker https://t.co/RSWHBWqTKs via @opinion pic.twitter.com/Yd86NsaI2t
— Zoe Schneeweiss (@ZSchneeweiss) September 16, 2026
The UK should slash taxes on the rich and encourage the City to take greater risks, according to a report by a think-tank linked to Reform UK that’s set to guide the economic policies of Nigel Farage’s party https://t.co/2sHxgcbowp via @GriffithsKath_ @harrynwilson @LucyGJWhite pic.twitter.com/G6GQk5BE7u
— Zoe Schneeweiss (@ZSchneeweiss) September 16, 2026
Trade, Politics and Geopolitics
🇩🇪🇨🇳 Merz Calls for Trade Tools to Fight ‘Unfair’ China Competition – Bloomberghttps://t.co/plxzbVrGNKhttps://t.co/SJ6ohTgLin pic.twitter.com/pm7qQhFGTd
— Christophe Barraud 🇫🇷 🇲🇨 (@C_Barraud) September 16, 2026
EU Rebuffs Carney’s ‘Unique Alliance’ With Canada – FThttps://t.co/OrUlZmjIEG
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) September 16, 2026
Other Areas And Global Economy
Week Ahead | 14 September
— Vantage (@vantagemarkets) September 14, 2026
Inflation, spending and the Fed are three events shaping this week’s economic calendar. 🗓️
Wednesday brings UK CPI, US retail sales and the FOMC rate decision, followed by US jobless claims on Thursday.
Swipe for the key figures and release times.