Forecasting: a passion for several years

On the academic side, after a Master II in Finance (104), I wrote a thesis in Financial Economics at Paris-Dauphine University. The aim of this thesis was to highlight the parallels that can exist between the sports betting market and stock markets. More specifically, one of my objectives was to predict the returns associated with each type of odds in the context of men’s professional tennis and to deduce clear-cut conclusions regarding the empirical validation of informational efficiency.

Although I enjoyed my time in the academic sphere, the overly theoretical framework and the lack of daily risk-taking led me to pursue a career as a market economist. Being also passionate about macroeconomics, I chose to adapt my models and methodology to the forecasting of economic statistics (growth, inflation, unemployment rate, etc.). This forecasting work has been very useful in extending my field of expertise to that of strategist.

Chief Economist and Strategist at Market Securities since 2011, I have been awarded by Bloomberg the title of Top Forecaster of the U.S. Economy (from 2012 to 2020 and in 2022, 2023), Eurozone Economy (from 2015 to 2019 and in 2022) and Chinese Economy (from 2017 to 2020). I also won the Forecaster of the Year contest organized by MarketWatch in 2020.

I was appointed Knight of the National Order of Merit and I received this distinction from Bruno Le Maire on 10 November 2021.

In November 2023, I became CEO and Sales Manager at Market Securities Monaco S.A.M., in addition to my role of Chief Economist and Strategist.

Wikipedia

At the service of institutional investors, the public sector, students and corporates

My research is aimed at a wide range of global institutional investors (banks, insurers, asset managers, pension funds, etc.) but also public bodies (governments, central banks, etc.). I am regularly consulted by the French Ministry for the Economy and Finance.

Since 2021, I have been Adjunct Lecturer at ESCP in the MSc Finance, which has been ranked first worldwide in the 2023 Financial Times Masters in Finance ranking.

French Ministry for the Economy and Finance

Open-access analyses

Intended for institutional investors, some of my analyses are freely available via press articles, contributions or television appearances. With almost 200,000 followers on social networks, Focus Economics and Fibee have ranked me among the most influential economists.

Focus Economics Fibee

"The world's best forecaster" is clear: "It will take years for the economy to erase the hole of 2020."

Le Nouvel Obs, 10 avril 2020

Read the article (French)

Academic publications

8 interesting topics to discover, download and read for free.

Explore