Daily Archives: November 8, 2020

Europe

According to the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, all European countries have crossed a key threshold of new coronavirus infections. Latest data showed that the countries have recorded cumulative 14-day infection totals higher than 50 per 100,000 inhabitants.

 

Source: European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (data as of Nov. 7th)

 

#Portugal imposes local night-time curfews as #COVID_19 cases hit record – Reutershttps://t.co/fDBj9xcvFu

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) November 8, 2020

 

#Eurozone: Latest Restrictions Linked To #Covid_19 (An Update)https://t.co/yMbqqvdOOn

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) November 5, 2020

 

1/21. Nov 08 to Nov 14 – #COVID19 Daily Epidemic Forecasting for 209 countries with new risk maps.
Data: @ECDC_EU or https://t.co/lsAJmfF616 or https://t.co/YgpOxMJcyy

Dashboard: https://t.co/xJNfRM6DJZ

Powered by @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience pic.twitter.com/YSDXYd57L6

— Antoine FLAHAULT (@FLAHAULT) November 7, 2020

 

Germany (data)

#Germany's confirmed #coronavirus cases rise by 16,017 – RKI – Reutershttps://t.co/oC2wH5g3Xu pic.twitter.com/ergH4ob9Ke

— Macro Brief (@macroandfinance) November 8, 2020

 

Spain (data)

Lo quería presentar así para que tengamos claro que si empezamos a descender (desde el jueves hemos bajado 3 puntos) y ver tasas de de crecimiento negativo, no nos relajemos. Necesitamos mantener esos descenso para desandar el camino de subidas que iniciamos en julio. pic.twitter.com/B1DCb3VVs0

— ngb padel (@ngbpadel2) November 7, 2020

2/4) ÉVOLUTION DE #COVID19 À #BARCELONE, publiée aujourd'hui 07/11 à 09h49, correspondant hier (3 derniers jours provisoires). Données des 10 derniers jours. Oubreak Risk, CFR, R-eff et décès, descente. Occupations hôpitaux, légère aumentation (par USI lire 4/4) Source: @salutcat pic.twitter.com/Kbuel0y0IT

— Ramon Fornos (@ramonfornose) November 7, 2020

 

France (data)

⚠️Attention⚠️

Le chiffre de 86852 n'a pas été communiqué par Santé Publique France (mais il est peut-être vrai). Il est la différence entre le total de cas dans le rapport du jour et dans celui d'hier.

Ce chiffre comporte les retards de traitement ⤵️https://t.co/rBTBA8wVKg

— Guillaume Saint-Quentin (@starjoin) November 7, 2020

Moyenne des cas #COVIDー19 détectés (Source SPF by @Fabien_L)

➡️86852 cas (143,69% vs j-7)
➡️Moyenne à 54440 (41,95% vs j-7 ⬆️)

PS : les bilans SPF pointent les cas à réception du résultat du test alors que SIDEP prend en compte la date du prélèvement. SIDEP a 3j de retard. pic.twitter.com/AVrNNEuxzV

— Guillaume Saint-Quentin (@starjoin) November 7, 2020

Mise à jour avec les données du 07/11 (04/11 pour les tests) : https://t.co/oGJiH6e9rU

Les pb techniques de remontée de tests semblent résolus, reste la prudence à toujours avoir sur les tout derniers chiffres.@EricBillyFR @Le___Doc #COVID19france pic.twitter.com/7S02NTBGCO

— Germain Forestier (@gforestier) November 7, 2020

Mise à jour avec les données du jour pour les tests (04/11). Seules les données des 02-03-04/11 sont disponibles pour la S45 (cette semaine).

Les pb techniques de remontée de tests semblent résolus, reste la prudence à toujours avoir sur les derniers chiffres. pic.twitter.com/SL4jX555Dh

— Germain Forestier (@gforestier) November 7, 2020

[Thread – Chiffre Covid – 7/11] : Un taux de reproduction qui continue à baisser selon les indicateurs tests, réa, et hospi mais les indicateurs tests sont à prendre avec des pincettes. R= 1,23 en agrégé et R=1,1 selon tests corrigés. pic.twitter.com/fQIRCLv0qh

— Covid stats (@covid_stat) November 7, 2020

[Thread] Taux de reproduction dans les métropoles sous couvre-feu (les 9 premières). Attention toujours un écart important pour les R basés sur les tests SI-DEP et leur tentative de correction.

— Covid stats (@covid_stat) November 7, 2020

[THREAD]#MétéoCovidFrance du 07 novembre

Hospitalisations

France Métropolitaine :
2439 entrées ⬆️ J-7 (2259)
Moyenne 2836,29 ⬆️ J-1 (2810,57)

DOM :
19 entrées ⬆️ J-7 (15)
Moyenne 22,14 ⬆️ J-1 (21,57)

Graph sur toute la période et les 120 derniers jours

La suite ⤵️ pic.twitter.com/SeVxhXcKGS

— Guillaume Saint-Quentin (@starjoin) November 7, 2020

Mise à jour région par région du nombre total de personne hospitalisé et en Réanimation en France Métropolitaine + DOM.

29396 Hospitalisations
[+441 ]
14 en hausse
1 stable
3 en baisse

4410 Réanimations
[+89 ]
11 en hausse
2 stable
5 en baisse pic.twitter.com/nCvpLnq2UP

— Fabien_L (@Fabien_L) November 7, 2020

#France reported a rise in the number of serious ill #Covid_19 patients occupying intensive care wards – Bloomberg
*As of Saturday, 87.2% of intensive-care capacity was occupied by patients infected with the virus, an ⬆ from 85.4% on Friday, French health authorities reported

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) November 7, 2020

#PrevisionCovid
Nouveaux cas 70 à 89 ans
Entrées à l'hôpital (décalé 10 jours)
Décès (décalé 17j – échelle gauche)

La courbe des décès semble commencer à ralentir légèrement mais nous sommes samedi et il est toujours possible d'avoir une régule importante lundi. pic.twitter.com/2I4AYMk8W8

— Guillaume Saint-Quentin (@starjoin) November 7, 2020

 

Italy (data)

#ITALY HAS 39,811 NEW #CORONAVIRUS CASES (New record high) VS 37,809 DAY BEFORE – BBG

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) November 7, 2020

In Italia 39.811 nuovi casi e 425 morti nelle ultime 24 ore https://t.co/aJQgdn2Fxu

— Corriere della Sera (@Corriere) November 7, 2020

L’andamento dell’epidemia: la mappa, i dati e le tendenze https://t.co/c2cU09HZW4 pic.twitter.com/Y17aSyqSN5

— Corriere della Sera (@Corriere) November 7, 2020

 


 

Daily New Confirmed Cases (7-day moving average)


*Note: Data can’t be directly compared to lockdown period amid methodology change and increasing frequency of tests (see below).

 

Daily New Tests (7-day moving average)

 

Positivity Rates (7-day moving average)

 

Daily New Confirmed Deaths (7-day moving average)

Restrictions

More states are implementing restrictions ⬇#Georgia introduces night curfew to curb #COVID_19 – Reutershttps://t.co/siD7jNkt1C

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) November 7, 2020

 

Other news

#Biden to announce COVID-19 task force Monday – Axioshttps://t.co/rJ2WkQd09O

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) November 7, 2020

Biden Win Signals a Turning Point in U.S. #Coronavirus Response – Bloomberghttps://t.co/7kcH35i4Zv

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) November 8, 2020

 

Regional Data

The test positivity rate in the focus areas under NY's Micro-Cluster strategy is 4.22%.

The statewide positivity rate excluding these focus areas is 2.01%.

We continue to take strong action to respond to outbreaks and to stop the spread.

Mask Up.

— Andrew Cuomo (@NYGovCuomo) November 7, 2020

Sadly, we are also reporting 11 new confirmed COVID-19 deaths for a total of 14,625 lives lost.

Learn more: https://t.co/JW1q8aOh8F

— Governor Phil Murphy (@GovMurphy) November 7, 2020

#COVID19 in New Jersey. What we know:
-252,582 positive cases
-14,625 deaths
-1,392 people are hospitalized
-76 ventilators in use
-170 patients discharged yesterday
-Rt at 1.24
-Most new cases since mid-April
@GovMurphy said to be considering new restrictions

— Shlomo Schorr (@OneJerseySchorr) November 8, 2020

The number of Ohio coronavirus cases has continued to spike despite pleas from the governor for people to help slow the spread. The 7-day average for daily new cases in Ohio has risen above 3,000. https://t.co/pKAtF1pFwX

— KDKA (@KDKA) November 7, 2020

The latest on coronavirus in Arizona:https://t.co/wWiadfT8Lz

— KTAR News 92.3 (@KTAR923) November 8, 2020

 

National data (CDC, Covid Tracking Project, Johns Hopkins University, New York Times)

U.S. reports 130,000 new #coronavirus cases, fourth straight daily record – Reutershttps://t.co/SiyUbz6rra

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) November 8, 2020

November 7 COVID-19 Test Results; Record Cases; Hospitalizations almost 56,000 https://t.co/nk5ljuuppv pic.twitter.com/g541cFszUW

— Bill McBride (@calculatedrisk) November 7, 2020

My model that adjusts cases for higher testing shows the virus at most prevalent level in US since April 26. pic.twitter.com/fxTIjYK24m

— Charlie Bilello (@charliebilello) November 7, 2020

New Post:

Covid-19: The 3rd Wave Continues…https://t.co/LI5y9bL1Hn pic.twitter.com/r2DujU2ObD

— Charlie Bilello (@charliebilello) November 7, 2020

Our daily update is published. States reported 1.5 million tests and 128k cases, making today the fourth day in a row the US broke its case count record. There are 56k people currently hospitalized with COVID-19. The death toll was 1,097. pic.twitter.com/pethO2jvr8

— The COVID Tracking Project (@COVID19Tracking) November 8, 2020

 


 

Daily New Confirmed Cases

 

Daily New Confirmed Cases (7-day moving average)

 

Daily New Tests (7-day moving average)

 

Positivity Rates (7-day moving average)

 

Daily New Confirmed Deaths (7-day moving average)

Americas

#BREAKING: Joe Biden has been named winner of 2020 presidential election, making Trump a one-term president https://t.co/kr30IUePuu pic.twitter.com/mmpmhH1Vei

— The Hill (@thehill) November 7, 2020

#Biden to announce COVID-19 task force Monday – Axioshttps://t.co/rJ2WkQd09O

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) November 7, 2020

By the numbers: How Americans voted in 2020 https://t.co/NIM3HhaR16

— Financial Times (@FT) November 7, 2020

#Covid_19: Daily Summary (November 8th)
*Focus on restrictions, regional & national data and news

HT @calculatedrisk, @charliebilello, @COVID19Tracking, @JohnsHopkinshttps://t.co/aPBbCIKVDc

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) November 8, 2020

Exhaustion with Trump’s trade wars and disappointment over his failure to secure additional stimulus in the weeks before the election turned many on Wall Street against him https://t.co/hOsOyqXqKF pic.twitter.com/hB7K08DRNy

— Bloomberg Economics (@economics) November 8, 2020

Asia

Melbourne residents will be allowed to travel freely to other areas of Victoria state after the Australian city went nine days without any new coronavirus cases https://t.co/FFVu8SUFSr

— Bloomberg Asia (@BloombergAsia) November 8, 2020

#China Shows the Payoff From Curbing the Virus: Eco Week Ahead
*#ECB holds virtual forum, U.K. reports third-quarter GDP data
*Link: https://t.co/lFgc2FyQtc pic.twitter.com/bG8tYzvVti

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) November 8, 2020

China’s consumers are spending as the economy extends its rebound from the coronavirus https://t.co/vv5ht55S0d

— Bloomberg Economics (@economics) November 8, 2020

Singapore’s economy is unlikely to pick up in a “very vibrant sort of way very soon” as key export markets in Europe and the U.S. face renewed coronavirus outbreaks, Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong says https://t.co/Bj59Vj7DvN

— Bloomberg Economics (@economics) November 8, 2020

China GDP: Xi Jinping says ‘completely possible’ to double size of economy by 2035, despite foreign hostility, reports ⁦@xinzhou#china #China #gdp #GDP #XiJinping https://t.co/w8UH42I8BB

— SCMP Economy (@scmpeconomy) November 8, 2020

Europe

#Europe #Covid_19: Daily Summary (November 8th)

*Focus on #Germany, #Spain, #France and #Italy

HT @FLAHAULT, @macroandfinance, @ngbpadel2, @ramonfornose, @covid_stat, @starjoin, @gforestier, @Fabien_L, @Corriere https://t.co/YP30IgTMJs

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) November 8, 2020

#Eurozone: Latest Restrictions Linked To #Covid_19 (An Update)https://t.co/yMbqqvdOOn

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) November 5, 2020

#France | Finance Minister Bruno Le Maire said in an interview with Sunday paper Journal Du Dimanche that he will present a downgraded growth forecast for 2021 in the next two weeks.
*The current 2021 budget is based on a 8% expansion of GDP.https://t.co/RnzUBHb7xG

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) November 8, 2020

Spain’s government is too optimistic in its economic forecasts for next year and may need to revise its projections for output, the deficit and unemployment, the country’s central bank chief says https://t.co/HjncLD7xaz

— Bloomberg Economics (@economics) November 8, 2020

Italy approves 2.9 billion euro aid package after new virus curbs https://t.co/3oI7U0O59k pic.twitter.com/RDHUGbYBhV

— Reuters Business (@ReutersBiz) November 7, 2020

BOE Deputy Governor Jon Cunliffe says there is no clarity yet on allowing banks to pay dividends as they may “still be a case” for restrictions until their robustness is assessed https://t.co/mVDgu964TK

— Bloomberg Economics (@economics) November 8, 2020

EU says still far apart with Britain on fisheries, state aid in trade talks https://t.co/WyZbFBKnuf pic.twitter.com/FawOkEFCn5

— Reuters Business (@ReutersBiz) November 7, 2020

#EUCO decided “to extend the sanctions against persons or entities involved in ’s illegal activities in ‘s continental shelf for another year” (until 12 Nov 2021).

European Council extends Ankara sanctions as Turkish F-16 jet flies over Samos island https://t.co/nA9BKEfYsL

— Niklas Nováky (@NiklasNovaky) November 8, 2020

2. One thing in favor of a move towards the upside: seasonality.

h/t @RyanDetrick $SPX $SPY pic.twitter.com/QfkuSrZzIF

— Callum Thomas (@Callum_Thomas) November 7, 2020

7. The number of firms in the S&P500 with Negative Equity is near an all time high…

h/t @RadicalAdem pic.twitter.com/wfqKLa0XAa

— Callum Thomas (@Callum_Thomas) November 7, 2020

#FANGMAN has gained $700bn in mkt cap since US election as Big Tech got a boost from simple math, Goldman says: Lower rates (due to a divided govt) mean higher valuations for stocks, especially stocks like those in Tech that have a longer tail of cash flows in their DCFs. pic.twitter.com/FxMyHvlPyz

— Holger Zschaepitz (@Schuldensuehner) November 8, 2020

The focus now turns back to the #Fed. Given #stocks are near all-time highs and #earning #estimates continue to fall, #valuation expansion is the only driver of stocks currently. https://t.co/ZFvShRvvTh pic.twitter.com/iyTAqxqZF4

— Lance Roberts (@LanceRoberts) November 7, 2020

Countries affected by the SARS-1 pandemic in 2002-03 appear to have responded to COVID-19 more quickly and effectively with tests and mobility restrictions. https://t.co/aylyx3Clmz pic.twitter.com/yaa2b2sy3D

— St. Louis Fed (@stlouisfed) November 8, 2020