Daily Archives: November 4, 2020

Europe

According to the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, all European countries have crossed a key threshold of new coronavirus infections. Latest data showed that the countries have recorded cumulative 14-day infection totals higher than 50 per 100,000 inhabitants.

 

Source: European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (data as of Nov. 3rd)

 

#Covid Patients Show Key Immunity Gauge After Six Months in Study – Bloomberghttps://t.co/XWhLWt0TGR

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) November 4, 2020

 

#Coronavirus: NHS to be on standby for potential #vaccine rollout in December – Sky Newshttps://t.co/1dKxxVleqp

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) November 4, 2020

 

#Greece shuts restaurants, bars and museums to curb virus surge – Reutershttps://t.co/VRQVD378AW

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) November 4, 2020

 

#Netherlands | Rutte: Schools could close, curfew possible in areas with most coronavirus cases – NL Timeshttps://t.co/PmabaXPDQR

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) November 4, 2020

 

#Eurozone: Latest Restrictions Linked To #Covid_19 (An Update – November 1st)https://t.co/yMbqqvdOOn

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) November 1, 2020

 

1/21. Nov 04 to Nov 10 – #COVID19 Daily Epidemic Forecasting for 209 countries with new risk maps.
Data: @ECDC_EU or https://t.co/lsAJmfF616 or https://t.co/YgpOxMJcyy

Dashboard: https://t.co/xJNfRM6DJZ

Powered by @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience pic.twitter.com/7xPW2dAGNQ

— Antoine FLAHAULT (@FLAHAULT) November 3, 2020

 

Germany (data)

Das #RKI meldet 16.498 Corona-Neuinfektionen innerhalb eines Tages. Damit haben sich insgesamt nachweislich mindestens 560.379 Menschen mit dem Virus infiziert. https://t.co/gCuYGi3yiq

— RND (@RND_de) November 4, 2020

 

Spain (data)

➡️Gráficas de casos notificados por día y acumulados en 14 y 7 días.

Hoy hay 18.669 casos nuevos. El martes pasado fueron 18.418 Hace 2 martes fueron 13.873. Hace 3 martes 7.118. pic.twitter.com/Im2OeNhhDj

— ngb padel (@ngbpadel2) November 3, 2020

DATOS COVID-19 ESPAÑA

CASOS NUEVOS
✔️ +18.669 total
✔️ 5.141 día previo

238 FALLECIDOS

19.943 HOSP. [+773 ]
2.754 UCI [+104 ]

* Sin datos de CAT (2º día)

⚠️ —> + + +

HILO pic.twitter.com/TMSFwiRe4k

— Miguel Ángel Reinoso (@mianrey) November 3, 2020

Sigue creciendo el número de personas ingresadas por coronavirus en España:

17.520 HOSPITALIZADOS
[+429 ]
11 crecen
1 sin cambios
7 decrecen

2.594 UCI
[+53 ]
12 crecen
2 sin cambios
5 decrecen pic.twitter.com/CFHiS47VQc

— Miguel Ángel Reinoso (@mianrey) November 3, 2020

2/3) ÉVOLUTION DE #COVID19 À #BARCELONE, publiée aujourd'hui, 03/11 à 16h50, correspondant hier (3 derniers jours provisoires). Données des 10 derniers jours. Oubreak Risk, CFR, R-eff, descente. Occupations des hôpitaux, USI et décès, augmentation. Source : @salutcat pic.twitter.com/nmAodtzx0s

— Ramon Fornos (@ramonfornose) November 3, 2020

 

France (data)

#FRANCE REPORTS 36,330 NEW #CORONAVIRUS CASES IN PAST 24 HOURS (V 52,518 PRIOR AND 33,147 LAST TUESDAY)
*Positivity Rate: 20.6%❗ (v 20.6% prior and 18.4% last Tuesday).
*COVID DEATHS RISE BY 854, BIGGEST JUMP SINCE APRIL 15
*Santé Publique France: https://t.co/bZLT3Rguuz pic.twitter.com/X1NJaIXkOq

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) November 3, 2020

Moyenne des cas #COVIDー19 détectés (Source bilan SPF by @Fabien_L)

➡️36330 cas (8,72% vs j-7)
➡️Moyenne à 43438 (20,07% vs j-7⬇️)

PS : les bilans SPF pointent les cas à réception du résultat du test alors que SIDEP prend en compte la date du prélèvement. SIDEP a 3j de retard. pic.twitter.com/0F1J7UpkpT

— Guillaume Saint-Quentin (@starjoin) November 3, 2020

Mise à jour avec les données du 03/11 (31/10 pour les tests) : https://t.co/oGJiH6e9rU @EricBillyFR @Le___Doc #COVID19france pic.twitter.com/QOLEen1zFY

— Germain Forestier (@gforestier) November 3, 2020

Mise à jour avec les données du jour pour les tests (31/10). Seules les données des 26 au 31/10 sont disponibles pour la S44 (semaine dernière).

⚠️Prudence dans les interpretations, il semblerait qu'il y ait des retards importants dans la remontée des données. pic.twitter.com/eUBd6Bwoqv

— Germain Forestier (@gforestier) November 3, 2020

[THREAD]#MétéoCovidFrance du 03 novembre

Hospitalisations

France Métropolitaine :
3291 entrées ⬆️ J-7 (2966)
Moyenne 2550,14 ⬆️ J-1 (2503,71)

DOM :
20 entrées ⬇️ J-7 (22)
Moyenne 22,14 ⬇️ J-1 (22,43)

Graph sur toute la période et les 120 derniers jours

La suite ⤵️ pic.twitter.com/9YuXx4sU2o

— Guillaume Saint-Quentin (@starjoin) November 3, 2020

Mise à jour région par région du nombre total de personne hospitalisé et en Réanimation en France Métropolitaine + DOM.

26242 Hospitalisations
[+1122 ]
15 en hausse
2 stable
1 en baisse

3869 Réanimations
[+148 ]
11 en hausse
3 stable
4 en baisse pic.twitter.com/mmR1aoyYUN

— Fabien_L (@Fabien_L) November 3, 2020

 

Italy (data)

#ITALY REPORTS 28,244 NEW CORONAVIRUS CASES VS 22,253 DAY BEFORE – BBG
*ITALY REPORTS 353 DAILY VIRUS DEATHS, MOST SINCE EARLY MAY pic.twitter.com/QyoDyoboZ9

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) November 3, 2020

The Italian government is set to ban people from leaving or entering cities and towns in designated high-risk areas, according to the draft of a new decree on coronavirus restrictions https://t.co/DI1WyGgHkc

— Bloomberg Economics (@economics) November 3, 2020

 


 

Daily New Confirmed Cases (7-day moving average)


*Note: Data can’t be directly compared to lockdown period amid methodology change and increasing frequency of tests (see below).

 

Daily New Tests (7-day moving average)

 

Positivity Rates (7-day moving average)

 

Daily New Confirmed Deaths (7-day moving average)

News

Our NYC serosurvey paper is now out in Nature:
1) if extrapolated to the NYC population we found>1.7 million infected and IFR at 0.97
2) earlier introduction of the virus into city than officially detected
3) seroprevalence AND titers are stable so far https://t.co/XK3TWVveXf

— Florian Krammer (@florian_krammer) November 3, 2020

#Covid Patients Show Key Immunity Gauge After Six Months in Study – Bloomberghttps://t.co/XWhLWt0TGR

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) November 4, 2020

More States Bring Back Restrictions Amid Continuing Rise in #Covid_19 Cases – WSJhttps://t.co/vTR63hD2we

— Macro Brief (@macroandfinance) November 4, 2020

 

National data (CDC)

November 3 COVID-19 Test Results https://t.co/PQfn1E1TDa Note that hospitalizations were over 50,000 for the first time since early August, and up 75% from the low in September. pic.twitter.com/Y6WdrLksav

— Bill McBride (@calculatedrisk) November 3, 2020

The outbreak in the midwest continues to outpace detected cases in the Northeast and South. There are now 478 cases per million people in the region. pic.twitter.com/9hBMRfkIMW

— The COVID Tracking Project (@COVID19Tracking) November 3, 2020

A note to our data users about the reporting trends observed by day of the week. Currently COVID-19 case data reported on Fridays and Saturdays is nearly double the figures reported on Sundays and Mondays. pic.twitter.com/aXjilDqYeG

— The COVID Tracking Project (@COVID19Tracking) November 3, 2020

 


 

Daily New Confirmed Cases

 

Daily New Confirmed Cases (7-day moving average)

 

Daily New Tests (7-day moving average)

 

Positivity Rates (7-day moving average)

 

Daily New Confirmed Deaths (7-day moving average)

U.S. Dollar optimism index's 100 day average is at its lowest level in more than 10 years.

There's a strong risk that the USD could rally from here.

Given the inverse correlation between the dollar & stocks, this is as a major risk for U.S. stocks pic.twitter.com/9FB6LWMwzb

— SentimenTrader (@sentimentrader) November 4, 2020

ICYMI! The #velocity of money vs core #inflation. pic.twitter.com/PMVhviJufo

— jeroen blokland (@jsblokland) November 3, 2020

Eurozone GDP hit from new lockdowns according to Capital Economics

"GDP would contract by 3.0% in Q4 and be flat in Q1 2021. Full 2019 GDP recovery set back by nine months. Spain likely to underperform again" pic.twitter.com/GYvmG3z0mb

— Daniel Lacalle (@dlacalle_IA) November 3, 2020

France entered lockdown on Friday. Mobility decreased by 33% compared to pre-#COVID19. In March, the first Friday into lockdown saw a drop of 63%. The difference is particularly visible during rush hours: -21% (now) vs -64% (March) in mobility 7am-9am. Data by @orange pic.twitter.com/cm5aMd07lm

— Eugenio Valdano (@eugeValdano) November 3, 2020

$SPX Daily Sentiment still nowhere near capitulation.

This still looks unfinished and very different from 2016.

Some more Volatility would help finish the pattern – will revisit this soon, stay tuned. pic.twitter.com/yXtTYfspdp

— Macro Charts (@MacroCharts) November 4, 2020

Americas

United States #Covid_19: Daily Summary (November 4th)

HT @florian_krammer, @macroandfinance, @calculatedrisk, @COVID19Trackinghttps://t.co/BQU1xDnVut

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) November 4, 2020

Swing states go down to wire after Trump victory claim.

Follow the US election latest on the Nikkei Asia's free blog.https://t.co/ml1dSwXq1c

— Nikkei Asia (@NikkeiAsia) November 4, 2020

Can Electoral College really tie at 269 to 269 ? Yes. It's not likely but here's how it workshttps://t.co/DcgibEmOxE

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) November 4, 2020

Autos | I flagged the potential for a downward surprise ➡ https://t.co/Vf0jyJkBWvhttps://t.co/O0XpCOvO7y

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) November 4, 2020

Asia

As the world awaited definitive results from #Election2020, Chinese investors betting on the re-election of Donald Trump sent shares of a Shenzhen-listed air-traffic control software firm soaring https://t.co/7bWibvokwh

— Reuters Business (@ReutersBiz) November 4, 2020

#China Is Planning a Bigger Ant Crackdown With Bank Funding Curbs – Bloomberghttps://t.co/jRovgYDoMe

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) November 4, 2020

China's shock move to suspend Ant Group's record $37 billion listing described as necessary and reasonable by state media. Read more https://t.co/p9kNTO13nc pic.twitter.com/M1iC395D5N

— Reuters Business (@ReutersBiz) November 4, 2020

China’s GDP to grow by at least 5.5 per cent annually in next five years, former Chongqing mayor Huang Qifan says #China #china #GDP #gdp https://t.co/ZAJJ6iJDVy pic.twitter.com/kruryHF4An

— SCMP Economy (@scmpeconomy) November 4, 2020

Thailand approved a slew of new incentives covering electric cars, buses, trucks, motorcycles and ships to promote local production of electric vehicles https://t.co/HeRmW34xrN

— Bloomberg Economics (@economics) November 4, 2020

Europe

Brazil's senate backs central bank autonomy
Fed rate cut pricing is not moving amid uncertain election outcome
Uber, Lyft win California bid to keep drivers as contractors
Here's a rundown of your top economic news today https://t.co/YNV9eBrLR4

— Bloomberg Economics (@economics) November 4, 2020

United States #Covid_19: Daily Summary (November 4th)

HT @florian_krammer, @macroandfinance, @calculatedrisk, @COVID19Trackinghttps://t.co/BQU1xDnVut

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) November 4, 2020

#EUROZONE OCT FINAL PMI SERVICES: 46.9 V 46.2E (confirms 2nd straight contraction; 5-month low)
*PMI Composite: 50.0 v 49.4e (4-month low)
*Link: https://t.co/pMJ5dbLl5v pic.twitter.com/A8L3Ev9Up0

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) November 4, 2020

Wave goodbye to any hopes for growth, say forecasters – Times
*For 4Q, the National Institute of Economic and Social Research expects a contraction of 3.3%, the steepest quarterly fall since 1955 bar the record 19.8% ⬇ in the April-to-June period.https://t.co/yVWBzm4pZt

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) November 4, 2020

#Coronavirus: NHS to be on standby for potential #vaccine rollout in December – Sky Newshttps://t.co/1dKxxVleqp

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) November 4, 2020

The Bank of England meets on Thursday against the backdrop of a newly imposed lockdown. @marcusashworth and @ScouseView explain what to expect (via @bopinion)https://t.co/4NAhkdjTJw

— Bloomberg Economics (@economics) November 4, 2020