Daily Archives: October 21, 2020


According to the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, all European countries have crossed a key threshold of new coronavirus infections. Latest data showed that the countries have recorded cumulative 14-day infection totals higher than 20 per 100,000 inhabitants, considered an early alarm level by many health experts.


Source: European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (data as of Oct. 20th)


Boris Johnson Imposes Strictest U.K. #Virus Curbs on #Manchester – Bloomberghttps://t.co/7CZbPQTvVL

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) October 21, 2020


#Eurozone: Latest Restrictions Linked To #Covid_19 (An Update)
*Daily Summary: https://t.co/3IC6J5lxlbhttps://t.co/yMbqqvdOOn

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) October 18, 2020


1/21. Oct 21 to Oct 27 – #COVID19 Daily Epidemic Forecasting for 209 countries/territories.
21 countries analyzed in the thread.
Data: @ECDC_EU or https://t.co/lsAJmfF616 orhttps://t.co/YgpOxMJcyy
Dashboard: https://t.co/YTRsgEESvy
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience pic.twitter.com/mo7O4j7ZAe

— Antoine FLAHAULT (@FLAHAULT) October 20, 2020


Germany (data)

Germany reports 7,595 new daily coronavirus cases in latest update today https://t.co/P2t2J97K7j

— ForexLive (@ForexLive) October 21, 2020


Spain (data)

Datos por comunidades 20/10/2020:

⚠️Hoy hay 13.873 nuevos positivos

– Evolución IA= Incidencia acumulada (indica cuantos casos, proporcional a 100.000 hab)
– Razón de tasas
– Situación global y número de casos, compara con IA de 7 y 14 días

Sigue hilo ⚠️ pic.twitter.com/AB5dmLgeY8

— ngb padel (@ngbpadel2) October 20, 2020

➡️Gráficas de casos notificados por día y acumulados en 14 y 7 días.

Hoy hay 13.873 casos nuevos. El martes pasado fueron 7.118. Hace 2 martes fueron 11.998. Hace 3 martes 9.906. pic.twitter.com/yV5Zta6PE1

— ngb padel (@ngbpadel2) October 20, 2020


✔️ +13.873 total
✔️ 5.314 día previo


13.288 HOSP. [+343 ]
1.911 UCI [+54 ]

⚠️ —> + +

HILO pic.twitter.com/AChckw2JLk

— Miguel Ángel Reinoso (@mianrey) October 20, 2020

Hospitalizados COVID-19 (planta + UCI) por cada 100.000 habitantes:

Castilla y León —> 51,01
Melilla —> 48,55
Navarra —> 47,23
Madrid —> 45,95
Aragón —> 43,97

España —> 24,97

Baleares —> 16,60
C. Valenciana —> 14,32
Canarias —> 12,81
Galicia —> 12,00
Cantabria —> 9,98 pic.twitter.com/7K7Ibs54A7

— Miguel Ángel Reinoso (@mianrey) October 20, 2020

Spanish government considering nationwide state of alarm to implement a curfew – El Paishttps://t.co/xT41zylQqv

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) October 20, 2020


France (data)

#FRANCE REPORTS 20,468 NEW #CORONAVIRUS CASES IN PAST 24 HOURS (v 13,243 prior and 12,993 last Tuesday)
*Positivity Rate: 13.6%❗ (v 13.4% prior).
*Santé Publique France: https://t.co/bZLT3Rguuz pic.twitter.com/JMaiXHeg0J

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) October 20, 2020

Moyenne des cas #COVIDー19 détectés (Source bilan SPF by @Fabien_L)

➡️20468 cas (57,53% vs j-7)
➡️Moyenne à 24896 (47,41% vs j-7⬆️)

PS : les bilans SPF pointent les cas à réception du résultat du test alors que SIDEP prend en compte la date du prélèvement. SIDEP a 3j de retard pic.twitter.com/wPT4KhswZ9

— Guillaume Saint-Quentin (@starjoin) October 20, 2020

Mise à jour avec les données du 20/10 (17/10 pour les tests) : https://t.co/oGJiH6e9rU @EricBillyFR @Le___Doc #COVID19france pic.twitter.com/TPjh8AsEze

— Germain Forestier (@gforestier) October 20, 2020

Mise à jour avec les données du jour pour les tests (17/10). Seules les données des 12-17/10 sont disponibles pour la S42 (semaine dernière). Suivre l'évolution avec les données disponibles dans les prochains jours : https://t.co/oGJiH6e9rU pic.twitter.com/ORpq5HU8Ro

— Germain Forestier (@gforestier) October 20, 2020

[THREAD]#MétéoCovidFrance du 20 octobre


France Métropolitaine :
1924 entrées ⬆️ J-7 (1139)
Moyenne 1233,57 ⬆️ J-1 (1121,43)

19 entrées ⬇️ J-7 (29)
Moyenne 16,86 ⬇️ J-1 (18,29)

Graph sur toute la période et les 120 derniers jours

La suite ⤵️ pic.twitter.com/Y45BMqWfAV

— Guillaume Saint-Quentin (@starjoin) October 20, 2020

Mise à jour région par région du nombre total de personne hospitalisé et en Réanimation en France Métropolitaine + DOM.

12435 Hospitalisations
[+795 ]
14 en hausse
1 stable
3 en baisse

2168 Réanimations
[+78 ]
8 en hausse
3 stable
7 en baisse pic.twitter.com/HSmrHgEJwh

— Fabien_L (@Fabien_L) October 20, 2020

Moyenne glissante 7 jours :
Nouveaux cas 70 à 89 ans
Entrées à l'hôpital (décalé 10 jours)
Décès (décalé 17j – échelle droite)

L'augmentation des hospitalisations devraient continuer à accélérer vers les 2000, ainsi que les réanimations et les décès. pic.twitter.com/pUcTeNrUu9

— Guillaume Saint-Quentin (@starjoin) October 20, 2020


Italy (data)

In Italia 10.874 nuovi casi con 145mila tamponi e 89 morti https://t.co/IqKCEwFm5O

— Corriere della Sera (@Corriere) October 20, 2020

#Italy's regions impose patchwork restrictions to tame #COVID surge – Reutershttps://t.co/5fzsLOr0TA

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) October 20, 2020


Daily New Confirmed Cases (7-day moving average)

*Note: Data can’t be directly compared to lockdown period amid methodology change and increasing frequency of tests (see below).


Daily New Tests (7-day moving average)


Positivity Rates (7-day moving average)


Daily New Confirmed Deaths (7-day moving average)


Nombre de décès (fréquence journalière; moyenne mobile à 7 jours)

Liquidity pressure on banks is intensifying as more than CNY713Bn ($107Bn) in negotiable certificates of deposits (NCDs) comes due this week, the highest since Sep. 2018, while the benchmark 7-day money market rate has risen for seven straight sessions – Bloomberg pic.twitter.com/ASH2mYjyYs

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) October 21, 2020

companies have sold a record amount of domestic bonds this year, surpassing 2019’s total – Bloomberg
*Corporate bond issuance has reached almost CNY12.4 Trn ($1.9 Trn) since the year began, exceeding the 12.2 trillion yuan total in 2019, according to Bloomberg-compiled data. pic.twitter.com/3h3XTtMN4y

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) October 21, 2020

Quirk In Options Trading Could Lead To "Large, Sharp" Market Drawdown https://t.co/591lRWIb48

— zerohedge (@zerohedge) October 20, 2020

Added to the growing list of imbalances:

"Panic at the Bond disco"

Bond Puts the most expensive in years. Near important lows.

Traders perhaps too aggressive on easy stimulus/election? Watch closely. pic.twitter.com/zOnzmZGPNo

— Macro Charts (@MacroCharts) October 21, 2020

Fascinating chart from Deutsche' s @JimReid35. Even if the polls are as wrong as they were in '16, Biden on course to win FL (though only by 1%) MI WI PA AZ NH and NV. If as wrong as in '12, he wins NC, IA, OH and GA as well. pic.twitter.com/m2zMYLUQYm

— John Authers (@johnauthers) October 20, 2020


Pelosi, Mnuchin Move Closer to Stimulus Deal Amid Senate Doubts – Bloomberghttps://t.co/kdL4YSlLF6

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) October 21, 2020

NEW PELOSI LETTER — notable: waiting on committees for resolution on items. They’ve been deadlocked. And also — “reach an agreement” before the election. pic.twitter.com/1Hdv1SHZHP

— Jake Sherman (@JakeSherman) October 20, 2020

The Senate GOP COVID bill doesn’t get the job done for the American people

Nothing for American families

Nothing to help keep Americans in their homes

Nothing for Americans who have lost their jobs

Democrats are fighting to pass the HEROES Act to give Americans real relief

— Chuck Schumer (@SenSchumer) October 20, 2020

a few impressions from today in stimulus world
— big that Munchin/Pelosi expect to come together tonight on testing/tracing. Mnuchin said last week he had accepted pelosi’s language. he hadnt, but now we are getting to the point that Mnuchin represented he was at last week

— Jake Sherman (@JakeSherman) October 20, 2020

Goldman Sachs on US stimulus talks – a deal doesn’t seem particularly close https://t.co/r1rGOn0iI0

— ForexLive (@ForexLive) October 21, 2020


— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) October 20, 2020

Justice Department to File Long-Awaited Antitrust Suit Against Google – WSJhttps://t.co/An7uJ7eqfm

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) October 20, 2020

Trump says he may release contentious `60 Minutes' interview https://t.co/Te9eby4Tn8

— Bloomberg Asia (@BloombergAsia) October 21, 2020


China’s renminbi climbed to its highest level against the US dollar in more than two years on Thursday as investor confidence in the country’s economic recovery drove gains. Follow our live coverage here: https://t.co/C4goyFDve6 pic.twitter.com/nBMqFWvTpm

— Financial Times (@FinancialTimes) October 21, 2020

Chinese tech companies including Huawei seek curbs on Nvidia’s Arm deal, sources say https://t.co/13VZ35nMJm

— Bloomberg Asia (@BloombergAsia) October 21, 2020

Sinopharm says may be able to make over 1 billion #coronavirus vaccine doses in 2021 – Reuters
*About 60,000 people have received Chinese coronavirus vaccine candidates during Phase III clinical trials, with no serious side effects reported so far.https://t.co/rGZUibJ3wp

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) October 21, 2020

#SouthKorea October 1-20 Exports Y/Y: -5.8% v +7.7% in September (full month)
*Average Daily Exports Y/Y (1.5 less business days this year): +5.9%❗ v -4.0% in September (full month)
*Link (Korean): https://t.co/nhrvEiiucM pic.twitter.com/Vx7f1xhdLa

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) October 21, 2020

#China is able to keep economic growth rate in the range of 5%-6% in the next five years, Peng Sen, former vice chairman of National Development and Reform Commission, tells 21st Century Business Herald in an interview.
*Link (Chinese): https://t.co/QkGwwcfehF

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) October 21, 2020

Chinese scramble for Thailand's new special tourist visa.https://t.co/HEYssrfARD

— Nikkei Asia (@NikkeiAsia) October 21, 2020


ECB's Lagarde says the virus resurgence is a clear risk to the economy
⛴️ The EU has a plan to get a Brexit trade deal: Let Johnson claim he won
WTO race hits its key stage with U.S., EU divided
Here's a rundown of your top economic news today https://t.co/OrA3kg53HX

— Bloomberg Economics (@economics) October 21, 2020

#Europe #Covid_19: Daily Summary (October 21st)

*Focus on #Germany, #Spain, #France and #Italy

HT @FLAHAULT, @ForexLive, @ngbpadel2, @mianrey, @gforestier, @starjoin, @Fabien_L, @Corrierehttps://t.co/LO45FvRdzG

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) October 21, 2020

“The EU will try to help Johnson, one senior diplomat said. The bloc cares less about being seen to win, he said, than it does about getting a deal.” https://t.co/sUZ0VRhmXf

— Daniel Keohane (@KeohaneDan) October 21, 2020

Just in: EU chief Brexit negotiator Michel Barnier said that a deal with the UK was ‘within reach’, but underlined that the UK must now decide whether to return to the negotiating table https://t.co/Cv6FYlcfiE pic.twitter.com/QB1dchd6uo

— Financial Times (@FinancialTimes) October 21, 2020

ECB President Christine Lagarde says the unexpectedly early pickup in coronavirus infections is a “clear risk” to the economic outlook https://t.co/cYgnm3yDXe

— Bloomberg Economics (@economics) October 20, 2020

EU trade commissioner rejects US offer of tariff truce if Airbus repays billions in aid – Süddeutsche Zeitung https://t.co/ALAGaT72AM

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) October 21, 2020