Daily Archives: October 9, 2020

Europe

According to the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, all European countries have crossed a key threshold of new coronavirus infections. Latest data showed that the countries have recorded cumulative 14-day infection totals higher than 20 per 100,000 inhabitants, considered an early alarm level by many health experts.

 

Source: European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (data as of Oct. 8th)

 

#France Widens City Curbs With Virus Menacing #Europe Again – Bloomberghttps://t.co/lSHXENXNJ4

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) October 9, 2020

#UK Virus Cases Surge as Dissent Mounts Over Boris Johnson’s Strategy – Bloomberghttps://t.co/mEZn090hdr

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) October 9, 2020

#UK at 'perilous moment' after 17,540 new #COVID cases reported – Reutershttps://t.co/BAz6E94eLO

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) October 9, 2020

 

1/21. Oct 09 to Oct 15 – #COVID19 Daily Epidemic Forecasting in 209 countries for cases, deaths, tests, R-eff, risk maps (21 of them analyzed below).
Data: @ECDC_EU https://t.co/lsAJmfF616 https://t.co/YgpOxMJcyyhttps://t.co/YTRsgEESvy

Powered by @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience pic.twitter.com/vCiMfx12Pz

— Antoine FLAHAULT (@FLAHAULT) October 8, 2020


 

Germany (data)

Germany Reports 314660 Confirmed Covid-19 Cases (+4516) – RKI

— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) October 9, 2020

#Germany's confirmed #coronavirus cases rise by 4,516 to 314,660 – RKI – Reutershttps://t.co/2Cc66wTF2f

— Macro Brief (@macroandfinance) October 9, 2020

 

Spain (data)

Datos por comunidades 08/10/2020:

⚠️Hoy hay 12.423 nuevos positivos.

– Evolución IA= Incidencia acumulada (indica cuantos casos, proporcional a 100.000 hab)
– Razón de tasas
– Situación global y número de casos, compara con IA de 7 y 14 días

Sigue hilo pic.twitter.com/vRbpa3J4VH

— ngb padel (@ngbpadel2) October 8, 2020

➡️Gráficas de casos notificados por día y acumulados en 14 y 7 días.

Hoy hay 12.423 casos nuevos. El jueves pasado fueron 10.653. Hace 2 jueves fueron 11.291. Hace 3 jueves 10.764. pic.twitter.com/WqZyWqHLB3

— ngb padel (@ngbpadel2) October 8, 2020

#SPAIN'S SANCHEZ CALLS EXTRAORDINARY CABINET MEETING – BBG

Spain’s PM mulls state of alarm for the Madrid region – El Paishttps://t.co/spWpTCYV9L

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) October 9, 2020

 

France (data)

Moyenne des cas #COVIDー19 détectés (Source bilan SPF by @Fabien_L)

➡️18129 cas (29,77% vs j-7)
➡️ Moyenne à 13448 (19,79% vs j-7⬆️)

PS : les bilans SPF pointent les cas à réception du résultat du test alors que SIDEP prend en compte la date du prélèvement. SIDEP a 3j de retard pic.twitter.com/6KwO5o1053

— Guillaume Saint-Quentin (@starjoin) October 8, 2020

J'ai rarement vu une remonté pareil. Sincèrement, je ne m'explique toujours pas ce qu'il s'est passé avec ce creux, il y a dû avoir une variation des chiffres qui ne parait pas naturelle. En effet, la hausse suit sa croissance linéaire comme si le creux n'existait en faite pas. pic.twitter.com/OCTahuYuJm

— Guillaume Saint-Quentin (@starjoin) October 8, 2020

Mise à jour avec les données du 08/10 (05/10 pour les tests) : https://t.co/oGJiH6e9rU @EricBillyFR @Le___Doc #COVID19france pic.twitter.com/sDdttpmp7N

— Germain Forestier (@gforestier) October 8, 2020

Mise à jour avec les données du jour pour les tests (05/10). Seules les données du 05/10 sont disponibles pour la S41 (cette semaine). Suivre l'évolution avec les données disponibles dans les prochains jours : https://t.co/oGJiH6e9rU pic.twitter.com/Ff30Nz8krm

— Germain Forestier (@gforestier) October 8, 2020

[THREAD]
⛈️#MétéoCovidFrance du 8 octobre⛈️

Hospitalisations

France Métropolitaine :
687 entrées ⬆️ J-7 (603)
Moyenne 644,43 ⬆️ J-1 (632,43)

DOM :
24 entrées ⬆️ J-7 (23)
Moyenne 28,43 ⬆️ J-1 (28,29)

Graph sur toute la période et les 120 derniers jours

La suite ⤵️ pic.twitter.com/JfAYl9w0R4

— Guillaume Saint-Quentin (@starjoin) October 8, 2020

Mise à jour région par région du nombre total de personne hospitalisé et en Réanimation en France Métropolitaine + DOM.

7612 Hospitalisations
[+98 ]
10 en hausse
5 stable
3 en baisse

1418 Réanimations
[+12 ]
7 en hausse
3 stable
8 en baisse pic.twitter.com/oSI26MHw8d

— Fabien_L (@Fabien_L) October 8, 2020

Moyenne (7j) des nouveaux cas de 70 à 89 ans
Moyenne (7j) des entrées à l'hôpital (échelle des cas décalée de 10 jours)

Si ce graphique voit juste, nous serons autour des 750 hospitalisations moyenne par jour dans 6 jours pic.twitter.com/i4DRlOmwTH

— Guillaume Saint-Quentin (@starjoin) October 8, 2020

 

Italy (data)

Coronavirus in Italia, il bollettino di oggi 8 ottobre: 4.458 nuovi casi e 22 morti https://t.co/ysuNvBTT4m

— Corriere della Sera (@Corriere) October 8, 2020


 

Daily New Confirmed Cases (7-day moving average)


*Note: Data can’t be directly compared to lockdown period amid methodology change and increasing frequency of tests (see below).

 

Daily New Tests (7-day moving average)

 

Positivity Rates (7-day moving average)

 

Daily New Confirmed Deaths (7-day moving average)

 

Nombre de décès (fréquence journalière; moyenne mobile à 7 jours)

US 31 trillion (yes trillion) in negative real-yielding #debt in one chart… pic.twitter.com/6EPK157gTk

— jeroen blokland (@jsblokland) October 9, 2020

Chinese bonds are doing exactly what you'd expect of a recovering economy. It's the U.S. Treasury market that looks manipulated. https://t.co/Z2gdSI7qM8 via @bopinion pic.twitter.com/ELRI1V1E98

— John Authers (@johnauthers) October 9, 2020

Despite all the talk about moving supply chains away from China and building up domestic manufacturing, the world looks more reliant on Chinese goods than ever, particularly for PPE and work-from-home items like laptops.

China export figures via Nomura: pic.twitter.com/2eRDYsve4q

— Tracy Alloway (@tracyalloway) October 9, 2020

The volatility premium for a contested election is evaporating as Donald Trump's poll numbers decline.

From Josh Younger at JPMorgan: pic.twitter.com/6WTAOcPeLC

— Tracy Alloway (@tracyalloway) October 8, 2020

Average daily path for the S&P500 since 1928 pic.twitter.com/0A4LVqKp3U

— zerohedge (@zerohedge) October 9, 2020

Americas

#WhiteHouse Open to Bigger Stimulus Bill as Mnuchin, Pelosi Talk – Bloomberghttps://t.co/kL1oAQyz5O

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) October 9, 2020

#Fed Officials Say More QE May Lack Punch, Fiscal Aid Needed – Bloomberghttps://t.co/GlsbSQYToZ

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) October 9, 2020

Viral surge, fiscal fight may sway U.S. voters more than data https://t.co/q0gmr7b0f6 pic.twitter.com/JCiQnptxU1

— Reuters Business (@ReutersBiz) October 9, 2020

Recent layoff announcements from companies including Walt Disney and Allstate and multiple airlines have yet to register in unemployment data https://t.co/nU3TJDK0pk

— Bloomberg Economics (@economics) October 9, 2020

The U.S. government said in a court filing it was appealing a judge’s ruling that prevented it from prohibiting new downloads of the Chinese-owned short video-sharing app TikTok https://t.co/CII1MFciQJ pic.twitter.com/9UhBZ3Qj7x

— Reuters Business (@ReutersBiz) October 9, 2020

Asia

China’s stocks and currency rally as traders return from holiday https://t.co/fwzdMizZ5J

— Financial Times (@FT) October 9, 2020

#CNH | *OFFSHORE #YUAN STRENGTHENS PAST 6.7/USD FIRST TIME IN 18 MONTHS – BBG

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) October 9, 2020

The Reserve Bank of India will boost debt purchases as inflation keeps it from rate cuts https://t.co/M8NSFJUsnt

— Bloomberg Economics (@economics) October 9, 2020

Japan’s savings rate rises to its highest level in two decades as people bank cash handouts from the government instead of spending it https://t.co/YnjTvDslDn

— Bloomberg Economics (@economics) October 9, 2020

#China Inc. Set for Biggest U.S. #IPO Year Since ‘14 Amid Spat – Bloomberg
*Link: https://t.co/BShac4GuBy pic.twitter.com/6wppzUKICT

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) October 9, 2020

#CHINA: ANT, WECHAT EXPOSE 'ECONOMIC BULLYING' BY U.S. – BBG
*CHINA: U.S. HAS BEEN ABUSING NATIONAL SECURITY CONCEPT
*CHINA: NOTICED REPORT ON U.S. MULLING ANT GROUP RESTRICTIONS

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) October 9, 2020

*N.KOREA LIKELY TO SHOW A NEW MISSILE ON SATURDAY: YONHAP

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) October 9, 2020

Europe

UK recovery runs out of steam with lackluster August growth
SNB's Jordan faces crunch talks over crisis of work culture
One of world's least generous safety nets awaits UK unemployed
Here's a rundown of your top economic news today https://t.co/AJz4S8h8Km

— Bloomberg Economics (@economics) October 9, 2020

#Europe #Covid_19: Daily Summary (October 9th)

*Focus on #Germany, #Spain, #France and #Italy

HT @FLAHAULT, @LiveSquawk, @macroandfinance, @ngbpadel2, @starjoin, @gforestier, @Fabien_L, @Corrierehttps://t.co/tzJD6NfFSB

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) October 9, 2020

#France Widens City Curbs With Virus Menacing #Europe Again – Bloomberghttps://t.co/lSHXENXNJ4

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) October 9, 2020

#UK at 'perilous moment' after 17,540 new #COVID cases reported – Reutershttps://t.co/BAz6E94eLO

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) October 9, 2020

On toll motorways in #Spain, traffic is down about a fifth from a year ago, the most since the end of Aug., according to Atlantia SpA data – Bloomberg
*In #France the ⬇ was the biggest since July, another early sign of a pullback in the region’s traffic. pic.twitter.com/mQ92O6yk2K

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) October 9, 2020

#BREXIT TALKS HAVEN'T MADE SUFFICIENT PROGRESS YET: EU DIPLOMAT – BBG

— Christophe Barraud (@C_Barraud) October 9, 2020